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EPL · Ref outlier

Robert Madley leads the pool on under frequency

36.0% of Robert Madley's 50 games finish under 2.5 combined goals, 14.0 pts from a neutral 50% baseline.

Sample: 50 games over 10 seasons (2016–2026)

Over benchmark
36.0%
50 games
Avg combined total
2.3
-0.5 vs league
Delta vs 50%
14.0 pts
Leans under
Methodology
  • Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
  • Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
  • Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
  • Full methodology →
Robert Madley leads the pool on under frequency | Ref Watch