Michael Oliver
14 games with the Southampton · ~9-5
64.3%
Team baseline 23.7%
+40.6 pts vs team3.3 avg
71.4% over 2.5
+0.5 vs league-1.2
More fouls on the Southampton's opponents when positive
Opponent tendency
Southampton
Every Southampton game grouped by individual official, or by the same one officials on the pitch. Over this sample the Southampton are 72-232 (23.7%); each ref and crew win rate below is compared to that team average.
Whistle pattern
PatternIn the Southampton games with Michael Oliver, opponents draw 1.2 more fouls called per game than the Southampton (14-game sample).
14 games in sample
Michael Oliver profile →Win rate pattern
PatternUnder crews with Michael Oliver, the Southampton are 9-5 (64.3%) in 14 games, 40.6 pts above their 23.7% sample average.
14 games in sample
Michael Oliver profile →14 games with the Southampton · ~9-5
64.3%
Team baseline 23.7%
+40.6 pts vs team3.3 avg
71.4% over 2.5
+0.5 vs league-1.2
More fouls on the Southampton's opponents when positive
Opponent tendency8 games with the Southampton · ~4-4
50.0%
Team baseline 23.7%
+26.3 pts vs team2.9 avg
62.5% over 2.5
+0.1 vs league+2.8
More fouls on the Southampton's opponents when positive
SOU tendency16 games with the Southampton · ~7-9
43.8%
Team baseline 23.7%
+20.1 pts vs team3.4 avg
75.0% over 2.5
+0.6 vs league+1.1
More fouls on the Southampton's opponents when positive
SOU tendency12 games with the Southampton · ~5-7
41.7%
Team baseline 23.7%
+18.0 pts vs team2.3 avg
41.7% over 2.5
-0.5 vs league+0.3
More fouls on the Southampton's opponents when positive
Balanced12 games with the Southampton · ~5-7
41.7%
Team baseline 23.7%
+18.0 pts vs team2.1 avg
33.3% over 2.5
-0.7 vs league+0.5
More fouls on the Southampton's opponents when positive
Balanced10 games with the Southampton · ~4-6
40.0%
Team baseline 23.7%
+16.3 pts vs team2.5 avg
30.0% over 2.5
-0.3 vs league-1.3
More fouls on the Southampton's opponents when positive
Opponent tendency8 games with the Southampton · ~3-5
37.5%
Team baseline 23.7%
+13.8 pts vs team3.1 avg
62.5% over 2.5
+0.3 vs league+1.4
More fouls on the Southampton's opponents when positive
SOU tendency10 games with the Southampton · ~3-7
30.0%
Team baseline 23.7%
+6.3 pts vs team3.3 avg
60.0% over 2.5
+0.5 vs league+2.4
More fouls on the Southampton's opponents when positive
SOU tendency18 games with the Southampton · ~5-13
27.8%
Team baseline 23.7%
+4.1 pts vs team3.1 avg
55.6% over 2.5
+0.3 vs league-0.6
More fouls on the Southampton's opponents when positive
Balanced17 games with the Southampton · ~4-13
23.5%
Team baseline 23.7%
-0.2 pts vs team2.8 avg
47.1% over 2.5
+0.0 vs league+1.3
More fouls on the Southampton's opponents when positive
SOU tendency16 games with the Southampton · ~3-13
18.8%
Team baseline 23.7%
-4.9 pts vs team3.1 avg
62.5% over 2.5
+0.3 vs league+0.9
More fouls on the Southampton's opponents when positive
Balanced11 games with the Southampton · ~2-9
18.2%
Team baseline 23.7%
-5.5 pts vs team2.8 avg
36.4% over 2.5
+0.0 vs league+0.2
More fouls on the Southampton's opponents when positive
Balanced19 games with the Southampton · ~3-16
15.8%
Team baseline 23.7%
-7.9 pts vs team2.6 avg
47.4% over 2.5
-0.2 vs league+0.6
More fouls on the Southampton's opponents when positive
Balanced13 games with the Southampton · ~2-11
15.4%
Team baseline 23.7%
-8.3 pts vs team3.1 avg
69.2% over 2.5
+0.3 vs league-0.8
More fouls on the Southampton's opponents when positive
Balanced15 games with the Southampton · ~2-13
13.3%
Team baseline 23.7%
-10.4 pts vs team2.9 avg
66.7% over 2.5
+0.1 vs league+2.0
More fouls on the Southampton's opponents when positive
SOU tendency8 games with the Southampton · ~1-7
12.5%
Team baseline 23.7%
-11.2 pts vs team2.6 avg
62.5% over 2.5
-0.2 vs league+2.5
More fouls on the Southampton's opponents when positive
SOU tendency9 games with the Southampton · ~1-8
11.1%
Team baseline 23.7%
-12.6 pts vs team3.6 avg
66.7% over 2.5
+0.8 vs league+2.2
More fouls on the Southampton's opponents when positive
SOU tendency9 games with the Southampton · ~1-8
11.1%
Team baseline 23.7%
-12.6 pts vs team3 avg
55.6% over 2.5
+0.2 vs league-1.3
More fouls on the Southampton's opponents when positive
Opponent tendency10 games with the Southampton · ~1-9
10.0%
Team baseline 23.7%
-13.7 pts vs team2.2 avg
50.0% over 2.5
-0.6 vs league-0.1
More fouls on the Southampton's opponents when positive
BalancedHow Southampton compares in competitive late-game windows vs full games. A competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels.A competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels., not official NBA L2M reports.
Final margin within five points, a proxy for competitive late-game minutes. Not true last-two-minute (L2M) play-by-play data.
301 of 304 games match this window
proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play
| Metric | Close games (≤5 pt margin) | Full game | Δ vs full |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg combined goals | 2.7 | 2.8 | -0.1 |
| Avg fouls | 22 | 21.9 | +0.1 |
| Over rate | 53.5% | 53.9% | -0.4 pts |
Over benchmark: 2.5 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 304 total games in sample
Games where the closing spread was within 5.5 points; often stay tight through the fourth quarter. Spread lines may be estimated where sportsbook closing lines are unavailable.
304 of 304 games match this window
proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play
| Metric | Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5) | Full game | Δ vs full |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg combined goals | 2.8 | 2.8 | +0.0 |
| Avg fouls | 21.9 | 21.9 | +0.0 |
| Over rate | 53.9% | 53.9% | +0.0 pts |
Over benchmark: 2.5 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 304 total games in sample
Goals, fouls, and cards from football-data.co.uk match archives (3800 games, 10 seasons). Over/under vs the 2.5-goal line. 0 rows skipped.