NFL insights

Tendency index, league-wide trends, and ranked dataset findings in one place.

Showing Last 10 seasons (2000-09-03 – 2026-02-08)

Historical scoring and whistle tendencies across qualified officials. Descriptive associations with league baselines, not predictions. Sample: 209 officials (2000-09-03 – 2026-02-08).

Who moves the points?

The 168 officials with 30+ games, ranked by historical associations in their games.

Biggest scoring bump
Mark Hittner
+4.2 G
He averages 4.2 more combined points than the league baseline in his games.
Highest historical over-rate vs baseline
James Carter II
60.0%
Line benchmark is 44.9 combined points; he clears it more often than peers in this sample.
Most flags per game
Alex Moore
+4.8
17.2 flags/game, +4.8 vs league average.

89 of 168 officials associate with higher scoring. 52 associate with lower totals. Numbers describe past games, not predictions for tonight.

#	Official					Signals	Yards Δ	Balance
1	Mark Hittner#28	87	+4.2	-0.6	55.2%	1 notable	-	-
2	Mark Steinkerchner	75	+4.0	+0.1	53.3%	2 notable	-	-
3	Brett Bergman	32	+3.1	+0.8	59.4%	2 notable	-	-
4	Matt Edwards	107	+3.0	+0.1	57.0%	2 notable	-	-
5	Mike Weatherford	69	+3.0	-0.8	56.5%	2 notable	-	-
6	Ruben Fowler	42	+2.9	+0.2	57.1%	2 notable	-	-
7	Scott Edwards	81	+2.8	+0.7	48.1%	2 notable	-	-
8	Ron Torbert#62	78	+2.3	+0.5	46.2%	1 notable	+7.6	asymmetric
9	Dino Paganelli	114	+2.2	-0.4	51.8%		-	-
10	Dyrol Prioleau	123	+2.2	-0.1	52.0%		-	-
11	Tab Slaughter	73	+2.1	-1.0	54.8%		-	-
12	Dale Keller	44	+2.0	-0.1	52.3%	1 notable	-	-
13	Mike Morton	52	+2.0	+0.3	53.8%		-	-
14	Nathan Jones	104	+2.0	-0.7	54.8%		-	-
15	Steve Freeman	37	+2.0	+1.1	48.6%		-	-
16	Aaron Santi	144	+1.9	-0.2	53.5%		-	-
17	Alex Moore#124	45	+1.9	+4.8	53.3%		+29.6	asymmetric
18	Jimmy Buchanan	120	+1.9	-0.8	49.2%		-	-
19	Julian Mapp	141	+1.9	+0.4	53.9%		-	-
20	Maia Chaka	43	+1.9	-0.6	44.2%	2 notable	-	-
21	Steve Zimmer	61	+1.9	-0.4	50.8%		-	-
22	Allen Baynes	152	+1.8	-0.5	47.4%	1 notable	-	-
23	Carl Johnson#101	145	+1.8	-0.9	51.7%		-	-
24	Dale Shaw	120	+1.8	-0.6	55.0%		-	-
25	Frank LeBlanc	86	+1.8	-0.2	50.0%		-	-
26	Lee Dyer	35	+1.8	+1.3	54.3%	1 notable	-	-
27	Shawn Smith#14	151	+1.8	-0.3	49.7%		-0.9	asymmetric
28	Michael Dolce	39	+1.7	-1.8	46.2%		-	-
29	Clay Reynard	84	+1.6	+0.4	45.2%		-	-
30	James Carter II	30	+1.6	-0.6	60.0%	2 notable	-	-
31	Michael Banks	105	+1.6	+0.1	55.2%		-	-
32	Dominique Pender	94	+1.5	-1.1	54.3%		-	-
33	Greg Bradley	129	+1.5	+0.2	53.5%		-	-
34	Jeff Lamberth	84	+1.5	-0.6	51.2%	1 notable	-	-
35	Sarah Thomas	138	+1.5	-0.2	50.0%	1 notable	-	-
36	Tony Michalek	118	+1.5	-0.3	51.7%		-	-
37	Mearl Robinson	119	+1.4	-0.1	54.6%		-	-
38	Tony Steratore	42	+1.4	+1.7	54.8%		-	-
39	Clete Blakeman#34	254	+1.3	+0.1	49.6%		-0.1	asymmetric
40	Duane Heydt	64	+1.3	-0.9	51.6%		-	-
41	Frank Steratore	46	+1.3	+0.0	56.5%	1 notable	-	-
42	Greg Gautreaux	65	+1.3	-0.2	50.8%	1 notable	-	-
43	Jeff Hutcheon	32	+1.3	-1.0	59.4%	1 notable	-	-
44	Steve Patrick	84	+1.3	-0.7	54.8%		-	-
45	Tom Stephan	121	+1.3	+0.3	52.9%		-	-
46	Dana McKenzie	123	+1.2	+1.2	50.4%		-	-
47	Danny Short	128	+1.2	+0.3	52.3%		-	-
48	Greg Yette	130	+1.2	+0.0	51.5%		-	-
49	Jay Bilbo	42	+1.2	-0.1	52.4%		-	-
50	Tripp Sutter	107	+1.2	-0.8	49.5%		-	-
51	Alonzo Ramsey III	62	+1.1	-0.8	53.2%		-	-
52	Clay Martin#19	151	+1.1	-0.4	49.7%		-3.8	asymmetric
53	Dave Hawkshaw	90	+1.1	-1.0	50.0%		-	-
54	Don Willard	123	+1.1	-0.7	54.5%		-	-
55	Max Causey	62	+1.1	-1.0	54.8%		-	-
56	Alex Kemp	153	+1.0	+0.4	51.6%		+4.2	asymmetric
57	Brad Rogers#126	131	+1.0	+0.1	52.7%		+0.3	asymmetric
58	Dan Ferrell	71	+1.0	+0.4	53.5%		-	-
59	Jeff Bergman	74	+1.0	+0.5	54.1%		-	-
60	Joe Blubaugh	85	+1.0	-1.0	48.2%	1 notable	-	-
61	Perry Paganelli	103	+1.0	+0.3	47.6%		-	-
62	Todd Prukop	151	+1.0	-0.1	51.7%		-	-
63	Anthony Flemming	86	+0.9	-0.9	48.8%	1 notable	-	-
64	Byron Boston	52	+0.9	+2.6	48.1%	2 notable	-	-
65	Daniel Gallagher	93	+0.9	+0.0	49.5%		-	-
66	Grantis Bell	95	+0.9	-1.4	49.5%		-	-
67	Jerry Bergman	84	+0.9	-0.6	51.2%	1 notable	-	-
68	John Parry	181	+0.9	+0.1	54.7%		+0.2	asymmetric
69	Roy Ellison	135	+0.9	+0.5	48.9%		-	-
70	Scott Helverson	133	+0.9	+0.3	49.6%	1 notable	-	-
71	David Oliver	123	+0.8	-0.4	52.0%		-	-
72	Paul King	125	+0.8	-0.6	48.8%		-	-
73	Rich Hall	69	+0.8	+0.2	49.3%		-	-
74	Rusty Baynes	127	+0.8	-0.2	53.5%		-	-
75	Eugene Hall	150	+0.7	+0.4	50.0%		-	-
76	Jabir Walker	134	+0.7	-0.3	50.0%		-	-
77	Jerod Phillips	153	+0.7	-0.3	48.4%		-	-
78	John Jenkins	138	+0.7	-0.3	47.8%		-	-
79	Rich Martinez	131	+0.7	+0.8	50.4%		-	-
80	Anthony Jeffries	119	+0.6	+0.4	49.6%		-	-
81	Derick Bowers	127	+0.6	-0.2	47.2%		-	-
82	Jeff Seeman	146	+0.6	+0.6	48.6%		-	-
83	Keith Ferguson	82	+0.6	+0.7	48.8%		-	-
84	Terry Brown	122	+0.6	+0.4	54.1%		-	-
85	Terry Killens Jr#29	93	+0.6	+0.3	46.1%		-	-
86	John Hussey#35	179	+0.5	-0.5	44.7%		-3.4	asymmetric
87	Tony Josselyn	117	+0.5	+0.1	45.3%	1 notable	-	-
88	Tra Blake#3	92	+0.5	+0.1	51.1%		-	-
89	Craig Wrolstad	191	+0.4	-0.1	47.6%		+1.3	asymmetric
90	Brad Freeman	151	+0.3	-0.5	51.7%		-	-
91	Chad Hill#29	78	+0.3	-0.7	47.4%	1 notable	-	-
92	Scott Novak#1	145	+0.3	-0.8	51.0%	1 notable	-11.1	asymmetric
93	Tim Podraza	151	+0.3	+0.0	49.7%		-	-
94	Alan Eck#76	148	+0.2	-1.6	43.2%	3 notable	-12.5	asymmetric
95	Brandon Cruse	57	+0.2	-0.8	54.4%		-	-
96	Greg Wilson	159	+0.2	+0.0	45.3%		-	-
97	Land Clark#130	124	+0.2	-0.5	45.2%		-3.7	asymmetric
98	Ramon George	92	+0.1	+0.2	44.6%		-	-
99	Thomas Eaton	90	+0.1	-0.4	45.6%		-	-
100	Tom Hill#29	87	+0.1	+0.4	44.8%		-	-
101	Walt Coleman IV	57	+0.1	-0.2	47.4%	1 notable	-	-
102	Boris Cheek	151	+0.0	-0.1	47.0%	1 notable	-	-
103	Carl Cheffers#51	285	+0.0	+0.7	50.5%		+7.4	asymmetric
104	Carl Paganelli	126	+0.0	+0.9	46.0%		-	-
105	Brian Sakowski	49	-0.1	-1.0	51.0%		-	-
106	Gary Cavaletto	75	-0.1	-1.6	46.7%		-	-
107	Jeff Shears	61	-0.1	-0.7	50.8%		-	-
108	Jimmy Russell	87	-0.1	-0.9	41.4%	2 notable	-	-
109	Bart Longson	53	-0.2	+0.7	45.3%		-	-
110	Brian Bolinger	103	-0.2	+0.2	47.6%		-	-
111	Mike Carr	107	-0.2	-0.3	45.8%		-	-
112	Bill Schuster	36	-0.3	+0.5	50.0%		-	-
113	Bruce Stritesky	99	-0.3	-1.2	48.5%		-	-
114	Bryan Neale#92	125	-0.3	-0.1	44.8%		-	-
115	Mark Stewart	122	-0.3	+0.0	48.4%		-	-
116	Martin Hankins	43	-0.3	-0.9	51.2%	2 notable	-	-
117	Jerome Boger#23	271	-0.4	+0.8	52.8%		-	-
118	Joe Larrew	48	-0.4	+0.6	43.8%	1 notable	-	-
119	Jim Quirk	132	-0.5	+0.8	44.7%		-	-
120	Keith Washington	153	-0.5	+0.4	42.5%	1 notable	-	-
121	Sean Petty	47	-0.5	+0.8	44.7%		-	-
122	Brad Allen#122	192	-0.6	-0.5	45.8%		-6.0	asymmetric
123	Gene Steratore	180	-0.6	-0.8	52.2%		-10.2	asymmetric
124	Greg Steed	149	-0.6	-0.1	43.6%	1 notable	-	-
125	Kent Payne	165	-0.6	+0.2	46.1%		-	-
126	Terrence Miles	137	-0.6	-0.1	46.7%		-	-
127	Fred Bryan	113	-0.7	-0.1	38.9%	1 notable	-	-
128	Mark Pellis	152	-0.7	-0.9	48.0%		-	-
129	Patrick Turner	160	-0.7	+0.0	48.8%		-	-
130	Bill Vinovich#52	267	-0.8	-1.3	44.2%		-12.3	asymmetric
131	Greg Meyer	152	-0.8	-0.7	45.4%		-	-
132	Kevin Codey	146	-0.8	-0.4	45.2%		-	-
133	Rick Patterson	129	-0.8	-0.1	43.4%	1 notable	-	-
134	Ronald Torbert#62	119	-0.8	-0.2	47.9%	1 notable	-0.7	asymmetric
135	Steven Woods	136	-0.8	-0.1	42.6%	1 notable	-	-
136	Barry Anderson#20	362	-0.9	+0.7	49.4%		-	-
137	Walt Anderson#20	36	-0.9	+2.4	38.9%	2 notable	+23.5	asymmetric
138	James Coleman	129	-1.0	+0.2	44.2%		-	-
139	Adrian Hill#29	183	-1.1	+0.3	44.8%		+2.8	asymmetric
140	Jonah Monroe	134	-1.1	+0.4	47.0%		-	-
141	Jason Ledet	48	-1.2	+0.4	41.7%	1 notable	-	-
142	Jeff Triplette	267	-1.2	+1.1	50.2%		+10.8	asymmetric
143	Mark Perlman	105	-1.2	-1.7	42.9%	1 notable	-	-
144	Karina Tovar	31	-1.3	+1.2	45.2%		-	-
145	Scott Campbell	44	-1.5	+0.6	45.5%		-	-
146	Walt Coleman	308	-1.6	-0.1	48.7%		-	-
147	Jeff Rice	42	-1.7	+0.3	50.0%		-	-
148	Lo van Pham	60	-1.7	+0.2	45.0%		-	-
149	Patrick Holt	98	-1.7	-0.3	40.8%	1 notable	-	-
150	Ryan Dickson	133	-1.7	-0.2	40.6%	1 notable	-	-
151	Shawn Hochuli#83	416	-1.7	+0.8	43.3%	1 notable	+6.6	asymmetric
152	Trawick Boger#23	54	-1.7	+0.1	46.3%	1 notable	-	-
153	Pete Morelli	47	-1.8	+0.6	40.4%	1 notable	+12.9	asymmetric
154	Steve Stelljes	46	-1.8	+0.8	39.1%	1 notable	-	-
155	Thomas Symonette	57	-1.8	+1.0	38.6%	2 notable	-	-
156	Ed Camp	72	-1.9	+1.4	38.9%	1 notable	-	-
157	Tyree Walton	45	-2.0	-1.0	46.7%	1 notable	-	-
158	Jim Mello	94	-2.1	-0.5	40.4%	1 notable	-	-
159	Tony Corrente	327	-2.1	+0.3	45.0%		+3.9	asymmetric
160	Gary Arthur	51	-2.2	+0.1	37.3%	2 notable	-	-
161	Brian Perry	31	-2.4	-0.2	41.9%	2 notable	-	-
162	David Meslow	130	-2.4	+0.4	38.5%	2 notable	-	-
163	Phil McKinnely	39	-2.4	-1.3	43.6%	2 notable	-	-
164	Terry McAulay	254	-2.5	+1.0	48.4%	1 notable	+8.4	asymmetric
165	Walter Flowers	49	-2.6	-1.8	42.9%	2 notable	-	-
166	Robin DeLorenzo	43	-2.8	-1.8	41.9%	4 notable	-	-
167	Michael Spanier	51	-3.2	+0.8	33.3%	3 notable	-	-
168	Buddy Horton	30	-5.3	+0.3	40.0%	2 notable	-	-

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