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REF WATCH
Overview
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Buffalo Bills

How the Bills play under each ref or ref crew

Every Bills game grouped by individual official, or by the same seven officials on the field. Over this sample the Bills are 93-53 (63.7%); each ref and crew win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Jul 10, 2026, 6:12 p.m.·Last 10 seasons (2016-09-01 – 2026-02-08)

Bills record: 93-53 (63.7%)

Notable patterns

  • Whistle pattern

    Pattern

    In the Bills games with Jim Mello, opponents draw 1.7 more flags thrown per game than the Bills (9-game sample).

    9 games in sample

    Jim Mello profile →

  • Scoring pattern

    Pattern

    In the Bills games with Rusty Baynes, contests average 36.0 combined points (-10.0 vs league), 11.1% finish under the 44.9-point benchmark across 9 games.

    9 games in sample

    Rusty Baynes profile →

Patrick Turner

10 games with the Bills · ~9-1

Win rate

90.0%

Team baseline 63.7%

+26.3 pts vs team
Totals

44.4 avg

50.0% over 44.9

-1.6 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.4

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

David Oliver

9 games with the Bills · ~8-1

Win rate

88.9%

Team baseline 63.7%

+25.2 pts vs team
Totals

50.3 avg

77.8% over 44.9

+4.3 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.4

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Mearl Robinson

8 games with the Bills · ~7-1

Win rate

87.5%

Team baseline 63.7%

+23.8 pts vs team
Totals

53.4 avg

87.5% over 44.9

+7.4 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.0

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Brad Allen

9 games with the Bills · ~7-2

Win rate

77.8%

Team baseline 63.7%

+14.1 pts vs team
Totals

45.9 avg

55.6% over 44.9

-0.1 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.3

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Don Willard

9 games with the Bills · ~7-2

Win rate

77.8%

Team baseline 63.7%

+14.1 pts vs team
Totals

49.8 avg

66.7% over 44.9

+3.8 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.6

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Carl Paganelli

8 games with the Bills · ~6-2

Win rate

75.0%

Team baseline 63.7%

+11.3 pts vs team
Totals

44.8 avg

50.0% over 44.9

-1.2 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+1.9

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

BUF tendency

Tripp Sutter

8 games with the Bills · ~6-2

Win rate

75.0%

Team baseline 63.7%

+11.3 pts vs team
Totals

41.9 avg

37.5% over 44.9

-4.1 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.9

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Clete Blakeman

11 games with the Bills · ~8-3

Win rate

72.7%

Team baseline 63.7%

+9.0 pts vs team
Totals

53.4 avg

81.8% over 44.9

+7.4 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.1

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

John Hussey

10 games with the Bills · ~7-3

Win rate

70.0%

Team baseline 63.7%

+6.3 pts vs team
Totals

49.6 avg

60.0% over 44.9

+3.6 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.5

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Fred Bryan

10 games with the Bills · ~7-3

Win rate

70.0%

Team baseline 63.7%

+6.3 pts vs team
Totals

40.8 avg

50.0% over 44.9

-5.2 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.6

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Anthony Flemming

10 games with the Bills · ~7-3

Win rate

70.0%

Team baseline 63.7%

+6.3 pts vs team
Totals

51.9 avg

70.0% over 44.9

+5.9 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.7

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Carl Cheffers

13 games with the Bills · ~9-4

Win rate

69.2%

Team baseline 63.7%

+5.5 pts vs team
Totals

44.2 avg

46.2% over 44.9

-1.8 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+1.0

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Carl Johnson

13 games with the Bills · ~9-4

Win rate

69.2%

Team baseline 63.7%

+5.5 pts vs team
Totals

49.7 avg

61.5% over 44.9

+3.7 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.1

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Jabir Walker

13 games with the Bills · ~9-4

Win rate

69.2%

Team baseline 63.7%

+5.5 pts vs team
Totals

43.6 avg

46.2% over 44.9

-2.4 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+1.6

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

BUF tendency

Mark Pellis

12 games with the Bills · ~8-4

Win rate

66.7%

Team baseline 63.7%

+3.0 pts vs team
Totals

53.3 avg

58.3% over 44.9

+7.3 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.2

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Alan Eck

12 games with the Bills · ~8-4

Win rate

66.7%

Team baseline 63.7%

+3.0 pts vs team
Totals

44.9 avg

58.3% over 44.9

-1.1 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.1

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Ryan Dickson

9 games with the Bills · ~6-3

Win rate

66.7%

Team baseline 63.7%

+3.0 pts vs team
Totals

36.8 avg

11.1% over 44.9

-9.2 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.6

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Rusty Baynes

9 games with the Bills · ~6-3

Win rate

66.7%

Team baseline 63.7%

+3.0 pts vs team
Totals

36 avg

11.1% over 44.9

-10.0 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.8

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Dyrol Prioleau

9 games with the Bills · ~6-3

Win rate

66.7%

Team baseline 63.7%

+3.0 pts vs team
Totals

46.1 avg

44.4% over 44.9

+0.1 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.8

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Dana McKenzie

9 games with the Bills · ~6-3

Win rate

66.7%

Team baseline 63.7%

+3.0 pts vs team
Totals

58.3 avg

77.8% over 44.9

+12.3 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.6

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Mark Hittner

9 games with the Bills · ~6-3

Win rate

66.7%

Team baseline 63.7%

+3.0 pts vs team
Totals

54 avg

77.8% over 44.9

+8.0 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.8

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Allen Baynes

11 games with the Bills · ~7-4

Win rate

63.6%

Team baseline 63.7%

-0.1 pts vs team
Totals

55.8 avg

72.7% over 44.9

+9.8 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.4

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Jonah Monroe

11 games with the Bills · ~7-4

Win rate

63.6%

Team baseline 63.7%

-0.1 pts vs team
Totals

41.8 avg

27.3% over 44.9

-4.2 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.0

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Brad Freeman

8 games with the Bills · ~5-3

Win rate

62.5%

Team baseline 63.7%

-1.2 pts vs team
Totals

42.5 avg

62.5% over 44.9

-3.5 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.5

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Eugene Hall

8 games with the Bills · ~5-3

Win rate

62.5%

Team baseline 63.7%

-1.2 pts vs team
Totals

48 avg

50.0% over 44.9

+2.0 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+1.9

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

BUF tendency

Roy Ellison

8 games with the Bills · ~5-3

Win rate

62.5%

Team baseline 63.7%

-1.2 pts vs team
Totals

53.8 avg

75.0% over 44.9

+7.8 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+1.0

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Tom Stephan

8 games with the Bills · ~5-3

Win rate

62.5%

Team baseline 63.7%

-1.2 pts vs team
Totals

40.4 avg

37.5% over 44.9

-5.6 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+1.9

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

BUF tendency

Greg Bradley

13 games with the Bills · ~8-5

Win rate

61.5%

Team baseline 63.7%

-2.2 pts vs team
Totals

52 avg

69.2% over 44.9

+6.0 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.5

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Greg Wilson

10 games with the Bills · ~6-4

Win rate

60.0%

Team baseline 63.7%

-3.7 pts vs team
Totals

48.2 avg

70.0% over 44.9

+2.2 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.7

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Aaron Santi

10 games with the Bills · ~6-4

Win rate

60.0%

Team baseline 63.7%

-3.7 pts vs team
Totals

39.4 avg

50.0% over 44.9

-6.6 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+1.0

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Tab Slaughter

10 games with the Bills · ~6-4

Win rate

60.0%

Team baseline 63.7%

-3.7 pts vs team
Totals

48.7 avg

60.0% over 44.9

+2.7 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+1.1

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

BUF tendency

Greg Steed

12 games with the Bills · ~7-5

Win rate

58.3%

Team baseline 63.7%

-5.4 pts vs team
Totals

47.2 avg

58.3% over 44.9

+1.2 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.7

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

James Coleman

12 games with the Bills · ~7-5

Win rate

58.3%

Team baseline 63.7%

-5.4 pts vs team
Totals

42.2 avg

33.3% over 44.9

-3.8 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.1

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

John Jenkins

14 games with the Bills · ~8-6

Win rate

57.1%

Team baseline 63.7%

-6.6 pts vs team
Totals

41.7 avg

50.0% over 44.9

-4.3 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.4

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Julian Mapp

9 games with the Bills · ~5-4

Win rate

55.6%

Team baseline 63.7%

-8.1 pts vs team
Totals

48.9 avg

66.7% over 44.9

+2.9 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.6

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Terrence Miles

9 games with the Bills · ~5-4

Win rate

55.6%

Team baseline 63.7%

-8.1 pts vs team
Totals

45 avg

55.6% over 44.9

-1.0 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+1.1

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

BUF tendency

Shawn Smith

9 games with the Bills · ~5-4

Win rate

55.6%

Team baseline 63.7%

-8.1 pts vs team
Totals

44.1 avg

33.3% over 44.9

-1.9 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.3

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Terry Killens Jr.

9 games with the Bills · ~5-4

Win rate

55.6%

Team baseline 63.7%

-8.1 pts vs team
Totals

55.9 avg

66.7% over 44.9

+9.9 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+2.2

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

BUF tendency

Michael Banks

9 games with the Bills · ~5-4

Win rate

55.6%

Team baseline 63.7%

-8.1 pts vs team
Totals

46.3 avg

55.6% over 44.9

+0.3 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+2.6

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

BUF tendency

Jim Mello

9 games with the Bills · ~5-4

Win rate

55.6%

Team baseline 63.7%

-8.1 pts vs team
Totals

41.1 avg

33.3% over 44.9

-4.9 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.7

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Keith Washington

11 games with the Bills · ~6-5

Win rate

54.5%

Team baseline 63.7%

-9.2 pts vs team
Totals

44.5 avg

27.3% over 44.9

-1.5 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.5

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Scott Helverson

11 games with the Bills · ~6-5

Win rate

54.5%

Team baseline 63.7%

-9.2 pts vs team
Totals

45.1 avg

36.4% over 44.9

-0.9 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.8

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

David Meslow

11 games with the Bills · ~6-5

Win rate

54.5%

Team baseline 63.7%

-9.2 pts vs team
Totals

54 avg

72.7% over 44.9

+8.0 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.9

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Alex Kemp

11 games with the Bills · ~6-5

Win rate

54.5%

Team baseline 63.7%

-9.2 pts vs team
Totals

39.5 avg

18.2% over 44.9

-6.5 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+1.5

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

BUF tendency

Dale Shaw

11 games with the Bills · ~6-5

Win rate

54.5%

Team baseline 63.7%

-9.2 pts vs team
Totals

44.5 avg

54.5% over 44.9

-1.5 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.1

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Greg Meyer

10 games with the Bills · ~5-5

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 63.7%

-13.7 pts vs team
Totals

38.9 avg

40.0% over 44.9

-7.1 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.1

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Jeff Seeman

10 games with the Bills · ~5-5

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 63.7%

-13.7 pts vs team
Totals

57.8 avg

70.0% over 44.9

+11.8 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+2.0

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

BUF tendency

Rich Martinez

10 games with the Bills · ~5-5

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 63.7%

-13.7 pts vs team
Totals

50.5 avg

60.0% over 44.9

+4.5 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+2.0

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

BUF tendency

Tim Podraza

8 games with the Bills · ~4-4

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 63.7%

-13.7 pts vs team
Totals

48.1 avg

50.0% over 44.9

+2.1 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+1.0

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Ronald Torbert

8 games with the Bills · ~4-4

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 63.7%

-13.7 pts vs team
Totals

39.8 avg

0.0% over 44.9

-6.2 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.1

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Craig Wrolstad

8 games with the Bills · ~4-4

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 63.7%

-13.7 pts vs team
Totals

51.6 avg

62.5% over 44.9

+5.6 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.1

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Steven Woods

8 games with the Bills · ~4-4

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 63.7%

-13.7 pts vs team
Totals

49.5 avg

50.0% over 44.9

+3.5 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.3

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Bryan Neale

8 games with the Bills · ~4-4

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 63.7%

-13.7 pts vs team
Totals

44.4 avg

50.0% over 44.9

-1.6 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.3

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Dino Paganelli

8 games with the Bills · ~4-4

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 63.7%

-13.7 pts vs team
Totals

49.9 avg

37.5% over 44.9

+3.9 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+2.8

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

BUF tendency

Perry Paganelli

8 games with the Bills · ~4-4

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 63.7%

-13.7 pts vs team
Totals

59.6 avg

87.5% over 44.9

+13.6 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+1.8

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

BUF tendency

Patrick Holt

9 games with the Bills · ~4-5

Win rate

44.4%

Team baseline 63.7%

-19.3 pts vs team
Totals

46.4 avg

44.4% over 44.9

+0.4 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+1.9

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

BUF tendency

Danny Short

8 games with the Bills · ~3-5

Win rate

37.5%

Team baseline 63.7%

-26.2 pts vs team
Totals

48.3 avg

50.0% over 44.9

+2.3 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.4

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Derick Bowers

8 games with the Bills · ~3-5

Win rate

37.5%

Team baseline 63.7%

-26.2 pts vs team
Totals

46 avg

62.5% over 44.9

+0.0 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.5

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

Balanced

Shawn Hochuli

8 games with the Bills · ~2-6

Win rate

25.0%

Team baseline 63.7%

-38.7 pts vs team
Totals

42.8 avg

50.0% over 44.9

-3.2 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+1.1

More fouls on the Bills's opponents when positive

BUF tendency

Late-game proxy

How Buffalo Bills compares in competitive late-game windows vs full games. A competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels.A competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels., not official NBA L2M reports.

Close games (≤7 pt margin)

7pt proxy

85 of 179 games match this window

proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play

MetricClose games (≤7 pt margin)Full gameΔ vs full
Avg combined pts45.746.1-0.4
Avg flags12.312.2+0.1
Over rate49.4%49.7%-0.3 pts

Over benchmark: 44.9 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 179 total games in sample

Pregame toss-ups

spread

101 of 179 games match this window

proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play

MetricPregame toss-upsFull gameΔ vs full
Avg combined pts47.146.1+1.0
Avg flags12.212.2+0.0
Over rate49.5%49.7%-0.2 pts

Over benchmark: 44.9 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 179 total games in sample

What am I looking at?
  • Individual refs: stats for one official across all Bills games they worked, even with different partners.
  • Ref crews: stats when the same seven officials worked together on the Bills games (8+ games shown by default).
  • Team baseline: the Bills went 93-53 (63.7%) across this sample. Ref and crew win rates show how they compare to that team average.
  • Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Bills.

Ref×team W-L rebuilt from 2283 ESPN game logs. 4544/5864 ref×team pairs meet the 3+ game matrix gate. Official names canonicalized (122 slots); 0 reverse-name ghosts removed.

League-wide ref profiles

Kent Payne45.7% over 44.9Greg Wilson45.2% over 44.9Patrick Turner49.4% over 44.9Jerod Phillips48.7% over 44.9Allen Baynes48.3% over 44.9Brad Freeman51.4% over 44.9Keith Washington43.2% over 44.9Mark Pellis48.0% over 44.9Greg Meyer45.3% over 44.9Boris Cheek47.6% over 44.9Tim Podraza49.0% over 44.9Eugene Hall50.0% over 44.9