Carl Paganelli
10 games with the Cowboys · ~9-1
90.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
+33.0 pts vs team51.7 avg
50.0% over 44.9
+5.7 vs league-0.6
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
BalancedDallas Cowboys
Every Cowboys game grouped by individual official, or by the same seven officials on the field. Over this sample the Cowboys are 86-65 (57.0%); each ref and crew win rate below is compared to that team average.
Whistle pattern
PatternIn the Cowboys games with Kent Payne, opponents draw 1.5 more flags thrown per game than the Cowboys (10-game sample).
10 games in sample
Kent Payne profile →Win rate pattern
PatternWhen Tony Michalek officiates, the Cowboys are 2-10 (16.7%) in 12 games, 40.3 pts below their 57.0% sample average.
12 games in sample
Tony Michalek profile →10 games with the Cowboys · ~9-1
90.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
+33.0 pts vs team51.7 avg
50.0% over 44.9
+5.7 vs league-0.6
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced9 games with the Cowboys · ~8-1
88.9%
Team baseline 57.0%
+31.9 pts vs team46 avg
44.4% over 44.9
+0.0 vs league+0.4
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced8 games with the Cowboys · ~7-1
87.5%
Team baseline 57.0%
+30.5 pts vs team43.4 avg
37.5% over 44.9
-2.6 vs league+1.4
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
DAL tendency8 games with the Cowboys · ~7-1
87.5%
Team baseline 57.0%
+30.5 pts vs team50.8 avg
50.0% over 44.9
+4.8 vs league-0.4
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced11 games with the Cowboys · ~9-2
81.8%
Team baseline 57.0%
+24.8 pts vs team50.3 avg
54.5% over 44.9
+4.3 vs league+0.5
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced10 games with the Cowboys · ~8-2
80.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
+23.0 pts vs team47.1 avg
40.0% over 44.9
+1.1 vs league+0.7
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced10 games with the Cowboys · ~8-2
80.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
+23.0 pts vs team47.2 avg
30.0% over 44.9
+1.2 vs league+0.2
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced10 games with the Cowboys · ~8-2
80.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
+23.0 pts vs team55 avg
70.0% over 44.9
+9.0 vs league+0.1
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced9 games with the Cowboys · ~7-2
77.8%
Team baseline 57.0%
+20.8 pts vs team49.3 avg
44.4% over 44.9
+3.3 vs league+0.9
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced9 games with the Cowboys · ~7-2
77.8%
Team baseline 57.0%
+20.8 pts vs team45.9 avg
33.3% over 44.9
-0.1 vs league+1.8
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
DAL tendency8 games with the Cowboys · ~6-2
75.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
+18.0 pts vs team49.4 avg
50.0% over 44.9
+3.4 vs league+0.6
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced11 games with the Cowboys · ~8-3
72.7%
Team baseline 57.0%
+15.7 pts vs team54.4 avg
72.7% over 44.9
+8.4 vs league-0.7
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced11 games with the Cowboys · ~8-3
72.7%
Team baseline 57.0%
+15.7 pts vs team53.6 avg
63.6% over 44.9
+7.6 vs league-0.4
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced10 games with the Cowboys · ~7-3
70.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
+13.0 pts vs team49.3 avg
40.0% over 44.9
+3.3 vs league+0.8
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced10 games with the Cowboys · ~7-3
70.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
+13.0 pts vs team46.1 avg
40.0% over 44.9
+0.1 vs league+0.6
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced12 games with the Cowboys · ~8-4
66.7%
Team baseline 57.0%
+9.7 pts vs team49.8 avg
58.3% over 44.9
+3.8 vs league+0.2
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced9 games with the Cowboys · ~6-3
66.7%
Team baseline 57.0%
+9.7 pts vs team47.2 avg
66.7% over 44.9
+1.2 vs league-0.2
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced9 games with the Cowboys · ~6-3
66.7%
Team baseline 57.0%
+9.7 pts vs team46.2 avg
55.6% over 44.9
+0.2 vs league-0.1
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced9 games with the Cowboys · ~6-3
66.7%
Team baseline 57.0%
+9.7 pts vs team52.1 avg
44.4% over 44.9
+6.1 vs league+1.3
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
DAL tendency11 games with the Cowboys · ~7-4
63.6%
Team baseline 57.0%
+6.6 pts vs team47.5 avg
54.5% over 44.9
+1.5 vs league+0.8
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced11 games with the Cowboys · ~7-4
63.6%
Team baseline 57.0%
+6.6 pts vs team55.5 avg
72.7% over 44.9
+9.5 vs league-0.4
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced8 games with the Cowboys · ~5-3
62.5%
Team baseline 57.0%
+5.5 pts vs team54.5 avg
50.0% over 44.9
+8.5 vs league-0.1
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced8 games with the Cowboys · ~5-3
62.5%
Team baseline 57.0%
+5.5 pts vs team53.1 avg
62.5% over 44.9
+7.1 vs league+2.9
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
DAL tendency8 games with the Cowboys · ~5-3
62.5%
Team baseline 57.0%
+5.5 pts vs team53.8 avg
50.0% over 44.9
+7.8 vs league+1.4
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
DAL tendency8 games with the Cowboys · ~5-3
62.5%
Team baseline 57.0%
+5.5 pts vs team48.8 avg
50.0% over 44.9
+2.8 vs league-1.1
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Opponent tendency13 games with the Cowboys · ~8-5
61.5%
Team baseline 57.0%
+4.5 pts vs team44.5 avg
38.5% over 44.9
-1.5 vs league+0.4
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced15 games with the Cowboys · ~9-6
60.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
+3.0 pts vs team46.7 avg
60.0% over 44.9
+0.7 vs league+1.7
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
DAL tendency10 games with the Cowboys · ~6-4
60.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
+3.0 pts vs team53.1 avg
70.0% over 44.9
+7.1 vs league-1.5
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Opponent tendency10 games with the Cowboys · ~6-4
60.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
+3.0 pts vs team49.8 avg
60.0% over 44.9
+3.8 vs league+0.3
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced9 games with the Cowboys · ~5-4
55.6%
Team baseline 57.0%
-1.4 pts vs team38.8 avg
22.2% over 44.9
-7.2 vs league+1.7
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
DAL tendency9 games with the Cowboys · ~5-4
55.6%
Team baseline 57.0%
-1.4 pts vs team55.6 avg
66.7% over 44.9
+9.6 vs league+1.4
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
DAL tendency11 games with the Cowboys · ~6-5
54.5%
Team baseline 57.0%
-2.5 pts vs team51.4 avg
54.5% over 44.9
+5.4 vs league-0.3
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced11 games with the Cowboys · ~6-5
54.5%
Team baseline 57.0%
-2.5 pts vs team52.8 avg
72.7% over 44.9
+6.8 vs league-0.4
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced11 games with the Cowboys · ~6-5
54.5%
Team baseline 57.0%
-2.5 pts vs team47.1 avg
54.5% over 44.9
+1.1 vs league-0.2
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced11 games with the Cowboys · ~6-5
54.5%
Team baseline 57.0%
-2.5 pts vs team43.6 avg
36.4% over 44.9
-2.4 vs league+2.0
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
DAL tendency12 games with the Cowboys · ~6-6
50.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
-7.0 pts vs team47.8 avg
58.3% over 44.9
+1.8 vs league+0.3
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced12 games with the Cowboys · ~6-6
50.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
-7.0 pts vs team47.8 avg
58.3% over 44.9
+1.8 vs league+0.3
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced10 games with the Cowboys · ~5-5
50.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
-7.0 pts vs team52.6 avg
50.0% over 44.9
+6.6 vs league-0.2
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced10 games with the Cowboys · ~5-5
50.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
-7.0 pts vs team50.7 avg
50.0% over 44.9
+4.7 vs league+0.1
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced10 games with the Cowboys · ~5-5
50.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
-7.0 pts vs team49.4 avg
60.0% over 44.9
+3.4 vs league+1.6
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
DAL tendency8 games with the Cowboys · ~4-4
50.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
-7.0 pts vs team47.5 avg
62.5% over 44.9
+1.5 vs league-0.1
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced8 games with the Cowboys · ~4-4
50.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
-7.0 pts vs team48.8 avg
37.5% over 44.9
+2.8 vs league+0.6
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced8 games with the Cowboys · ~4-4
50.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
-7.0 pts vs team54.1 avg
62.5% over 44.9
+8.1 vs league-1.4
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Opponent tendency8 games with the Cowboys · ~4-4
50.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
-7.0 pts vs team53.3 avg
62.5% over 44.9
+7.3 vs league-0.4
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced8 games with the Cowboys · ~4-4
50.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
-7.0 pts vs team58.5 avg
75.0% over 44.9
+12.5 vs league-1.4
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Opponent tendency8 games with the Cowboys · ~4-4
50.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
-7.0 pts vs team56.8 avg
75.0% over 44.9
+10.8 vs league+0.0
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced9 games with the Cowboys · ~4-5
44.4%
Team baseline 57.0%
-12.6 pts vs team42.8 avg
55.6% over 44.9
-3.2 vs league+0.1
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced9 games with the Cowboys · ~4-5
44.4%
Team baseline 57.0%
-12.6 pts vs team49.9 avg
77.8% over 44.9
+3.9 vs league+1.3
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
DAL tendency9 games with the Cowboys · ~4-5
44.4%
Team baseline 57.0%
-12.6 pts vs team46 avg
33.3% over 44.9
+0.0 vs league+1.9
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
DAL tendency9 games with the Cowboys · ~4-5
44.4%
Team baseline 57.0%
-12.6 pts vs team46.7 avg
44.4% over 44.9
+0.7 vs league+1.4
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
DAL tendency10 games with the Cowboys · ~4-6
40.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
-17.0 pts vs team43.5 avg
30.0% over 44.9
-2.5 vs league+0.3
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced10 games with the Cowboys · ~4-6
40.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
-17.0 pts vs team49.8 avg
40.0% over 44.9
+3.8 vs league+0.9
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced11 games with the Cowboys · ~4-7
36.4%
Team baseline 57.0%
-20.6 pts vs team46.5 avg
54.5% over 44.9
+0.5 vs league+1.2
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
DAL tendency11 games with the Cowboys · ~4-7
36.4%
Team baseline 57.0%
-20.6 pts vs team50.4 avg
54.5% over 44.9
+4.4 vs league+1.1
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
DAL tendency9 games with the Cowboys · ~3-6
33.3%
Team baseline 57.0%
-23.7 pts vs team43.2 avg
22.2% over 44.9
-2.8 vs league+1.4
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
DAL tendency9 games with the Cowboys · ~3-6
33.3%
Team baseline 57.0%
-23.7 pts vs team47.9 avg
66.7% over 44.9
+1.9 vs league+0.3
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
Balanced8 games with the Cowboys · ~2-6
25.0%
Team baseline 57.0%
-32.0 pts vs team52.1 avg
62.5% over 44.9
+6.1 vs league+1.4
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
DAL tendency12 games with the Cowboys · ~2-10
16.7%
Team baseline 57.0%
-40.3 pts vs team52.8 avg
66.7% over 44.9
+6.8 vs league+0.7
More fouls on the Cowboys's opponents when positive
BalancedHow Dallas Cowboys compares in competitive late-game windows vs full games. A competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels.A competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels., not official NBA L2M reports.
7pt proxy
73 of 172 games match this window
proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play
| Metric | Close games (≤7 pt margin) | Full game | Δ vs full |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg combined pts | 48.7 | 48.5 | +0.2 |
| Avg flags | 14.2 | 13.2 | +1.0 |
| Over rate | 60.3% | 60.5% | -0.2 pts |
Over benchmark: 44.9 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 172 total games in sample
spread
107 of 172 games match this window
proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play
| Metric | Pregame toss-ups | Full game | Δ vs full |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg combined pts | 47.3 | 48.5 | -1.2 |
| Avg flags | 13.5 | 13.2 | +0.3 |
| Over rate | 57.9% | 60.5% | -2.6 pts |
Over benchmark: 44.9 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 172 total games in sample
Ref×team W-L rebuilt from 2283 ESPN game logs. 4544/5864 ref×team pairs meet the 3+ game matrix gate. Official names canonicalized (122 slots); 0 reverse-name ghosts removed.