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New England Patriots

How the Patriots play under each ref or ref crew

Every Patriots game grouped by individual official, or by the same seven officials on the field. Over this sample the Patriots are 85-62 (57.8%); each ref and crew win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Jul 10, 2026, 6:12 p.m.·Last 10 seasons (2016-09-01 – 2026-02-08)

Patriots record: 85-62 (57.8%)

Notable patterns

  • Whistle pattern

    Pattern

    In the Patriots games with Matt Edwards, the Patriots draw 2.5 more flags thrown per game than opponents (10-game sample).

    10 games in sample

    Matt Edwards profile →

  • Scoring pattern

    Pattern

    In the Patriots games with Clay Reynard, contests average 38.4 combined points (-7.6 vs league), 11.1% finish under the 44.9-point benchmark across 9 games.

    9 games in sample

    Clay Reynard profile →

Mike Carr

8 games with the Patriots · ~7-1

Win rate

87.5%

Team baseline 57.8%

+29.7 pts vs team
Totals

41.4 avg

62.5% over 44.9

-4.6 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+1.0

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Patrick Turner

10 games with the Patriots · ~8-2

Win rate

80.0%

Team baseline 57.8%

+22.2 pts vs team
Totals

42.4 avg

20.0% over 44.9

-3.6 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.4

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Greg Wilson

9 games with the Patriots · ~7-2

Win rate

77.8%

Team baseline 57.8%

+20.0 pts vs team
Totals

44.2 avg

55.6% over 44.9

-1.8 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.8

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Craig Wrolstad

9 games with the Patriots · ~7-2

Win rate

77.8%

Team baseline 57.8%

+20.0 pts vs team
Totals

40.8 avg

44.4% over 44.9

-5.2 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.0

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Jerod Phillips

8 games with the Patriots · ~6-2

Win rate

75.0%

Team baseline 57.8%

+17.2 pts vs team
Totals

41.6 avg

62.5% over 44.9

-4.4 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.1

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Todd Prukop

8 games with the Patriots · ~6-2

Win rate

75.0%

Team baseline 57.8%

+17.2 pts vs team
Totals

43.9 avg

25.0% over 44.9

-2.1 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.9

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Clay Martin

8 games with the Patriots · ~6-2

Win rate

75.0%

Team baseline 57.8%

+17.2 pts vs team
Totals

48.4 avg

75.0% over 44.9

+2.4 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.9

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Dyrol Prioleau

11 games with the Patriots · ~8-3

Win rate

72.7%

Team baseline 57.8%

+14.9 pts vs team
Totals

45.5 avg

36.4% over 44.9

-0.5 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.9

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Brad Freeman

10 games with the Patriots · ~7-3

Win rate

70.0%

Team baseline 57.8%

+12.2 pts vs team
Totals

41.4 avg

40.0% over 44.9

-4.6 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+1.1

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

NE tendency

Shawn Hochuli

10 games with the Patriots · ~7-3

Win rate

70.0%

Team baseline 57.8%

+12.2 pts vs team
Totals

40.5 avg

30.0% over 44.9

-5.5 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.2

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Keith Washington

12 games with the Patriots · ~8-4

Win rate

66.7%

Team baseline 57.8%

+8.9 pts vs team
Totals

45.9 avg

50.0% over 44.9

-0.1 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.2

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Greg Meyer

12 games with the Patriots · ~8-4

Win rate

66.7%

Team baseline 57.8%

+8.9 pts vs team
Totals

45.8 avg

75.0% over 44.9

-0.2 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.4

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Perry Paganelli

12 games with the Patriots · ~8-4

Win rate

66.7%

Team baseline 57.8%

+8.9 pts vs team
Totals

48.6 avg

50.0% over 44.9

+2.6 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.1

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Kent Payne

9 games with the Patriots · ~6-3

Win rate

66.7%

Team baseline 57.8%

+8.9 pts vs team
Totals

52.6 avg

66.7% over 44.9

+6.6 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.4

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Sarah Thomas

9 games with the Patriots · ~6-3

Win rate

66.7%

Team baseline 57.8%

+8.9 pts vs team
Totals

46.3 avg

55.6% over 44.9

+0.3 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.8

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Alex Kemp

9 games with the Patriots · ~6-3

Win rate

66.7%

Team baseline 57.8%

+8.9 pts vs team
Totals

44.1 avg

55.6% over 44.9

-1.9 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-2.1

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Fred Bryan

9 games with the Patriots · ~6-3

Win rate

66.7%

Team baseline 57.8%

+8.9 pts vs team
Totals

42.9 avg

44.4% over 44.9

-3.1 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.8

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Mark Hittner

9 games with the Patriots · ~6-3

Win rate

66.7%

Team baseline 57.8%

+8.9 pts vs team
Totals

42.7 avg

33.3% over 44.9

-3.3 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.6

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Aaron Santi

11 games with the Patriots · ~7-4

Win rate

63.6%

Team baseline 57.8%

+5.8 pts vs team
Totals

49.3 avg

54.5% over 44.9

+3.3 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.6

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Alan Eck

11 games with the Patriots · ~7-4

Win rate

63.6%

Team baseline 57.8%

+5.8 pts vs team
Totals

41.6 avg

27.3% over 44.9

-4.4 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.5

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Terrence Miles

11 games with the Patriots · ~7-4

Win rate

63.6%

Team baseline 57.8%

+5.8 pts vs team
Totals

37.8 avg

45.5% over 44.9

-8.2 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.1

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Jabir Walker

11 games with the Patriots · ~7-4

Win rate

63.6%

Team baseline 57.8%

+5.8 pts vs team
Totals

38.5 avg

27.3% over 44.9

-7.5 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.2

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Greg Yette

11 games with the Patriots · ~7-4

Win rate

63.6%

Team baseline 57.8%

+5.8 pts vs team
Totals

51.2 avg

81.8% over 44.9

+5.2 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.1

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Carl Cheffers

8 games with the Patriots · ~5-3

Win rate

62.5%

Team baseline 57.8%

+4.7 pts vs team
Totals

45.6 avg

62.5% over 44.9

-0.4 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.8

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

John Jenkins

8 games with the Patriots · ~5-3

Win rate

62.5%

Team baseline 57.8%

+4.7 pts vs team
Totals

43.6 avg

62.5% over 44.9

-2.4 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.2

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Steven Woods

8 games with the Patriots · ~5-3

Win rate

62.5%

Team baseline 57.8%

+4.7 pts vs team
Totals

38.3 avg

37.5% over 44.9

-7.7 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.2

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Brad Rogers

8 games with the Patriots · ~5-3

Win rate

62.5%

Team baseline 57.8%

+4.7 pts vs team
Totals

49.6 avg

62.5% over 44.9

+3.6 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+1.3

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

NE tendency

Dale Shaw

8 games with the Patriots · ~5-3

Win rate

62.5%

Team baseline 57.8%

+4.7 pts vs team
Totals

48.4 avg

87.5% over 44.9

+2.4 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.7

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Dana McKenzie

13 games with the Patriots · ~8-5

Win rate

61.5%

Team baseline 57.8%

+3.7 pts vs team
Totals

46.3 avg

46.2% over 44.9

+0.3 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.2

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Julian Mapp

10 games with the Patriots · ~6-4

Win rate

60.0%

Team baseline 57.8%

+2.2 pts vs team
Totals

43.7 avg

30.0% over 44.9

-2.3 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.9

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Kevin Codey

12 games with the Patriots · ~7-5

Win rate

58.3%

Team baseline 57.8%

+0.5 pts vs team
Totals

49.6 avg

75.0% over 44.9

+3.6 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.9

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Ronald Torbert

12 games with the Patriots · ~7-5

Win rate

58.3%

Team baseline 57.8%

+0.5 pts vs team
Totals

49.3 avg

75.0% over 44.9

+3.3 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.9

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Shawn Smith

12 games with the Patriots · ~7-5

Win rate

58.3%

Team baseline 57.8%

+0.5 pts vs team
Totals

44.2 avg

33.3% over 44.9

-1.8 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.8

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Jeff Seeman

14 games with the Patriots · ~8-6

Win rate

57.1%

Team baseline 57.8%

-0.7 pts vs team
Totals

49.7 avg

71.4% over 44.9

+3.7 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.3

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Scott Helverson

9 games with the Patriots · ~5-4

Win rate

55.6%

Team baseline 57.8%

-2.2 pts vs team
Totals

45.1 avg

66.7% over 44.9

-0.9 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.6

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Clay Reynard

9 games with the Patriots · ~5-4

Win rate

55.6%

Team baseline 57.8%

-2.2 pts vs team
Totals

38.4 avg

11.1% over 44.9

-7.6 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+1.3

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

NE tendency

Tim Podraza

11 games with the Patriots · ~6-5

Win rate

54.5%

Team baseline 57.8%

-3.3 pts vs team
Totals

45.4 avg

45.5% over 44.9

-0.6 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.7

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Eugene Hall

11 games with the Patriots · ~6-5

Win rate

54.5%

Team baseline 57.8%

-3.3 pts vs team
Totals

41.2 avg

54.5% over 44.9

-4.8 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.3

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

James Coleman

11 games with the Patriots · ~6-5

Win rate

54.5%

Team baseline 57.8%

-3.3 pts vs team
Totals

42.4 avg

45.5% over 44.9

-3.6 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.3

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Bryan Neale

12 games with the Patriots · ~6-6

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 57.8%

-7.8 pts vs team
Totals

42.8 avg

33.3% over 44.9

-3.2 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.1

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Greg Steed

10 games with the Patriots · ~5-5

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 57.8%

-7.8 pts vs team
Totals

43.9 avg

30.0% over 44.9

-2.1 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.8

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Ryan Dickson

10 games with the Patriots · ~5-5

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 57.8%

-7.8 pts vs team
Totals

43.5 avg

40.0% over 44.9

-2.5 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.1

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Matt Edwards

10 games with the Patriots · ~5-5

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 57.8%

-7.8 pts vs team
Totals

45.6 avg

60.0% over 44.9

-0.4 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+2.5

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

NE tendency

Clete Blakeman

8 games with the Patriots · ~4-4

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 57.8%

-7.8 pts vs team
Totals

43.1 avg

37.5% over 44.9

-2.9 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.9

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Dave Hawkshaw

8 games with the Patriots · ~4-4

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 57.8%

-7.8 pts vs team
Totals

43.4 avg

62.5% over 44.9

-2.6 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.4

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Mark Pellis

15 games with the Patriots · ~7-8

Win rate

46.7%

Team baseline 57.8%

-11.1 pts vs team
Totals

48.7 avg

66.7% over 44.9

+2.7 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.5

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Danny Short

9 games with the Patriots · ~4-5

Win rate

44.4%

Team baseline 57.8%

-13.4 pts vs team
Totals

50.2 avg

77.8% over 44.9

+4.2 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.0

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Brad Allen

9 games with the Patriots · ~4-5

Win rate

44.4%

Team baseline 57.8%

-13.4 pts vs team
Totals

46.2 avg

55.6% over 44.9

+0.2 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-3.7

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Roy Ellison

10 games with the Patriots · ~4-6

Win rate

40.0%

Team baseline 57.8%

-17.8 pts vs team
Totals

47.5 avg

40.0% over 44.9

+1.5 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+1.0

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Brian Bolinger

8 games with the Patriots · ~3-5

Win rate

37.5%

Team baseline 57.8%

-20.3 pts vs team
Totals

40.6 avg

37.5% over 44.9

-5.4 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.6

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Boris Cheek

14 games with the Patriots · ~5-9

Win rate

35.7%

Team baseline 57.8%

-22.1 pts vs team
Totals

45.8 avg

57.1% over 44.9

-0.2 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.9

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Dino Paganelli

9 games with the Patriots · ~3-6

Win rate

33.3%

Team baseline 57.8%

-24.5 pts vs team
Totals

46.8 avg

55.6% over 44.9

+0.8 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.1

More fouls on the Patriots's opponents when positive

Balanced

Late-game proxy

How New England Patriots compares in competitive late-game windows vs full games. A competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels.A competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels., not official NBA L2M reports.

Close games (≤7 pt margin)

7pt proxy

79 of 180 games match this window

proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play

MetricClose games (≤7 pt margin)Full gameΔ vs full
Avg combined pts43.743.5+0.2
Avg flags1211.4+0.6
Over rate49.4%47.8%+1.6 pts

Over benchmark: 44.9 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 180 total games in sample

Pregame toss-ups

spread

93 of 180 games match this window

proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play

MetricPregame toss-upsFull gameΔ vs full
Avg combined pts41.843.5-1.7
Avg flags11.511.4+0.1
Over rate41.9%47.8%-5.9 pts

Over benchmark: 44.9 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 180 total games in sample

What am I looking at?
  • Individual refs: stats for one official across all Patriots games they worked, even with different partners.
  • Ref crews: stats when the same seven officials worked together on the Patriots games (8+ games shown by default).
  • Team baseline: the Patriots went 85-62 (57.8%) across this sample. Ref and crew win rates show how they compare to that team average.
  • Whistle differential: flag differential. A positive number means opponents are flagged more often than the Patriots.

Ref×team W-L rebuilt from 2283 ESPN game logs. 4544/5864 ref×team pairs meet the 3+ game matrix gate. Official names canonicalized (122 slots); 0 reverse-name ghosts removed.

League-wide ref profiles

Kent Payne45.7% over 44.9Greg Wilson45.2% over 44.9Patrick Turner49.4% over 44.9Jerod Phillips48.7% over 44.9Allen Baynes48.3% over 44.9Brad Freeman51.4% over 44.9Keith Washington43.2% over 44.9Mark Pellis48.0% over 44.9Greg Meyer45.3% over 44.9Boris Cheek47.6% over 44.9Tim Podraza49.0% over 44.9Eugene Hall50.0% over 44.9