New Orleans Saints
Every Saints game grouped by individual official, or by the same seven officials on the field. Over this sample the Saints are 74-70 (51.4%); each ref and crew win rate below is compared to that team average.
Whistle pattern
PatternIn the Saints games with John Jenkins, the Saints draw 3.2 more flags thrown per game than opponents (10-game sample).
10 games in sample
John Jenkins profile →Win rate pattern
PatternWhen Sarah Thomas officiates, the Saints are 9-3 (75.0%) in 12 games, 23.6 pts above their 51.4% sample average.
12 games in sample
Sarah Thomas profile →9 games with the Saints · ~7-2
77.8%
Team baseline 51.4%
+26.4 pts vs team50.1 avg
44.4% over 44.9
+4.1 vs league-0.7
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced12 games with the Saints · ~9-3
75.0%
Team baseline 51.4%
+23.6 pts vs team45.7 avg
41.7% over 44.9
-0.3 vs league+0.0
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced8 games with the Saints · ~6-2
75.0%
Team baseline 51.4%
+23.6 pts vs team49.5 avg
50.0% over 44.9
+3.5 vs league-1.0
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced11 games with the Saints · ~8-3
72.7%
Team baseline 51.4%
+21.3 pts vs team44.6 avg
36.4% over 44.9
-1.4 vs league+0.5
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced11 games with the Saints · ~8-3
72.7%
Team baseline 51.4%
+21.3 pts vs team50.1 avg
54.5% over 44.9
+4.1 vs league+1.5
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
NO tendency10 games with the Saints · ~7-3
70.0%
Team baseline 51.4%
+18.6 pts vs team45.8 avg
40.0% over 44.9
-0.2 vs league-0.5
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced12 games with the Saints · ~8-4
66.7%
Team baseline 51.4%
+15.3 pts vs team41.9 avg
33.3% over 44.9
-4.1 vs league-1.2
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Opponent tendency9 games with the Saints · ~6-3
66.7%
Team baseline 51.4%
+15.3 pts vs team47.8 avg
22.2% over 44.9
+1.8 vs league+2.2
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
NO tendency11 games with the Saints · ~7-4
63.6%
Team baseline 51.4%
+12.2 pts vs team51.8 avg
45.5% over 44.9
+5.8 vs league-0.5
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced11 games with the Saints · ~7-4
63.6%
Team baseline 51.4%
+12.2 pts vs team48.9 avg
54.5% over 44.9
+2.9 vs league-1.3
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Opponent tendency8 games with the Saints · ~5-3
62.5%
Team baseline 51.4%
+11.1 pts vs team40 avg
37.5% over 44.9
-6.0 vs league+0.4
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced8 games with the Saints · ~5-3
62.5%
Team baseline 51.4%
+11.1 pts vs team40.8 avg
37.5% over 44.9
-5.2 vs league+1.1
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
NO tendency8 games with the Saints · ~5-3
62.5%
Team baseline 51.4%
+11.1 pts vs team40.1 avg
12.5% over 44.9
-5.9 vs league+1.3
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
NO tendency10 games with the Saints · ~6-4
60.0%
Team baseline 51.4%
+8.6 pts vs team51.7 avg
60.0% over 44.9
+5.7 vs league-0.7
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced14 games with the Saints · ~8-6
57.1%
Team baseline 51.4%
+5.7 pts vs team43 avg
35.7% over 44.9
-3.0 vs league+1.9
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
NO tendency14 games with the Saints · ~8-6
57.1%
Team baseline 51.4%
+5.7 pts vs team46.6 avg
35.7% over 44.9
+0.6 vs league+0.4
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced14 games with the Saints · ~8-6
57.1%
Team baseline 51.4%
+5.7 pts vs team49.3 avg
50.0% over 44.9
+3.3 vs league+2.1
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
NO tendency9 games with the Saints · ~5-4
55.6%
Team baseline 51.4%
+4.2 pts vs team43.8 avg
44.4% over 44.9
-2.2 vs league+2.0
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
NO tendency9 games with the Saints · ~5-4
55.6%
Team baseline 51.4%
+4.2 pts vs team41.6 avg
33.3% over 44.9
-4.4 vs league+0.6
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced11 games with the Saints · ~6-5
54.5%
Team baseline 51.4%
+3.1 pts vs team57.8 avg
72.7% over 44.9
+11.8 vs league-0.9
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced15 games with the Saints · ~8-7
53.3%
Team baseline 51.4%
+1.9 pts vs team43.7 avg
33.3% over 44.9
-2.3 vs league+0.7
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced14 games with the Saints · ~7-7
50.0%
Team baseline 51.4%
-1.4 pts vs team49.2 avg
50.0% over 44.9
+3.2 vs league+0.6
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced12 games with the Saints · ~6-6
50.0%
Team baseline 51.4%
-1.4 pts vs team49.4 avg
50.0% over 44.9
+3.4 vs league+1.3
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
NO tendency10 games with the Saints · ~5-5
50.0%
Team baseline 51.4%
-1.4 pts vs team49.6 avg
50.0% over 44.9
+3.6 vs league+1.9
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
NO tendency10 games with the Saints · ~5-5
50.0%
Team baseline 51.4%
-1.4 pts vs team43.3 avg
40.0% over 44.9
-2.7 vs league+0.8
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced10 games with the Saints · ~5-5
50.0%
Team baseline 51.4%
-1.4 pts vs team42.9 avg
40.0% over 44.9
-3.1 vs league+3.2
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
NO tendency10 games with the Saints · ~5-5
50.0%
Team baseline 51.4%
-1.4 pts vs team41.6 avg
40.0% over 44.9
-4.4 vs league+0.5
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced10 games with the Saints · ~5-5
50.0%
Team baseline 51.4%
-1.4 pts vs team50.2 avg
40.0% over 44.9
+4.2 vs league+1.6
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
NO tendency10 games with the Saints · ~5-5
50.0%
Team baseline 51.4%
-1.4 pts vs team40 avg
30.0% over 44.9
-6.0 vs league+0.6
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced8 games with the Saints · ~4-4
50.0%
Team baseline 51.4%
-1.4 pts vs team47.4 avg
50.0% over 44.9
+1.4 vs league+1.6
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
NO tendency11 games with the Saints · ~5-6
45.5%
Team baseline 51.4%
-5.9 pts vs team50.6 avg
45.5% over 44.9
+4.6 vs league-0.5
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced11 games with the Saints · ~5-6
45.5%
Team baseline 51.4%
-5.9 pts vs team43.2 avg
45.5% over 44.9
-2.8 vs league+0.5
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced11 games with the Saints · ~5-6
45.5%
Team baseline 51.4%
-5.9 pts vs team54.1 avg
72.7% over 44.9
+8.1 vs league+0.1
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced9 games with the Saints · ~4-5
44.4%
Team baseline 51.4%
-7.0 pts vs team47.6 avg
44.4% over 44.9
+1.6 vs league+0.9
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced9 games with the Saints · ~4-5
44.4%
Team baseline 51.4%
-7.0 pts vs team46.2 avg
44.4% over 44.9
+0.2 vs league-0.4
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced9 games with the Saints · ~4-5
44.4%
Team baseline 51.4%
-7.0 pts vs team36.2 avg
22.2% over 44.9
-9.8 vs league-1.7
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Opponent tendency9 games with the Saints · ~4-5
44.4%
Team baseline 51.4%
-7.0 pts vs team45.6 avg
33.3% over 44.9
-0.4 vs league-1.3
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Opponent tendency9 games with the Saints · ~4-5
44.4%
Team baseline 51.4%
-7.0 pts vs team40.1 avg
44.4% over 44.9
-5.9 vs league-0.3
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced9 games with the Saints · ~4-5
44.4%
Team baseline 51.4%
-7.0 pts vs team47.9 avg
55.6% over 44.9
+1.9 vs league-0.4
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced9 games with the Saints · ~4-5
44.4%
Team baseline 51.4%
-7.0 pts vs team44.9 avg
33.3% over 44.9
-1.1 vs league+3.4
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
NO tendency12 games with the Saints · ~5-7
41.7%
Team baseline 51.4%
-9.7 pts vs team50.2 avg
41.7% over 44.9
+4.2 vs league+0.7
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced10 games with the Saints · ~4-6
40.0%
Team baseline 51.4%
-11.4 pts vs team45.8 avg
50.0% over 44.9
-0.2 vs league-0.5
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced10 games with the Saints · ~4-6
40.0%
Team baseline 51.4%
-11.4 pts vs team49.4 avg
50.0% over 44.9
+3.4 vs league-0.5
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced8 games with the Saints · ~3-5
37.5%
Team baseline 51.4%
-13.9 pts vs team47 avg
37.5% over 44.9
+1.0 vs league+1.6
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
NO tendency8 games with the Saints · ~3-5
37.5%
Team baseline 51.4%
-13.9 pts vs team49.1 avg
75.0% over 44.9
+3.1 vs league+1.8
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
NO tendency8 games with the Saints · ~3-5
37.5%
Team baseline 51.4%
-13.9 pts vs team41.8 avg
37.5% over 44.9
-4.2 vs league+0.6
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced8 games with the Saints · ~3-5
37.5%
Team baseline 51.4%
-13.9 pts vs team42.8 avg
37.5% over 44.9
-3.2 vs league+2.1
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
NO tendency11 games with the Saints · ~4-7
36.4%
Team baseline 51.4%
-15.0 pts vs team48.2 avg
54.5% over 44.9
+2.2 vs league+0.5
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced12 games with the Saints · ~4-8
33.3%
Team baseline 51.4%
-18.1 pts vs team42.8 avg
33.3% over 44.9
-3.2 vs league-0.7
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced9 games with the Saints · ~3-6
33.3%
Team baseline 51.4%
-18.1 pts vs team43.9 avg
22.2% over 44.9
-2.1 vs league+1.9
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
NO tendency9 games with the Saints · ~3-6
33.3%
Team baseline 51.4%
-18.1 pts vs team45.6 avg
44.4% over 44.9
-0.4 vs league+0.9
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced9 games with the Saints · ~3-6
33.3%
Team baseline 51.4%
-18.1 pts vs team47.1 avg
55.6% over 44.9
+1.1 vs league+0.2
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced10 games with the Saints · ~3-7
30.0%
Team baseline 51.4%
-21.4 pts vs team47.8 avg
50.0% over 44.9
+1.8 vs league+2.0
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
NO tendency10 games with the Saints · ~3-7
30.0%
Team baseline 51.4%
-21.4 pts vs team44.2 avg
50.0% over 44.9
-1.8 vs league+0.4
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
Balanced8 games with the Saints · ~1-7
12.5%
Team baseline 51.4%
-38.9 pts vs team45.9 avg
62.5% over 44.9
-0.1 vs league+0.1
More fouls on the Saints's opponents when positive
BalancedHow New Orleans Saints compares in competitive late-game windows vs full games. A competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels.A competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels., not official NBA L2M reports.
7pt proxy
76 of 173 games match this window
proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play
| Metric | Close games (≤7 pt margin) | Full game | Δ vs full |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg combined pts | 47.1 | 46.6 | +0.5 |
| Avg flags | 12.6 | 12.2 | +0.4 |
| Over rate | 56.6% | 50.3% | +6.3 pts |
Over benchmark: 44.9 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 173 total games in sample
spread
117 of 173 games match this window
proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play
| Metric | Pregame toss-ups | Full game | Δ vs full |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg combined pts | 46.9 | 46.6 | +0.3 |
| Avg flags | 12.1 | 12.2 | -0.1 |
| Over rate | 51.3% | 50.3% | +1.0 pts |
Over benchmark: 44.9 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 173 total games in sample
Ref×team W-L rebuilt from 2283 ESPN game logs. 4544/5864 ref×team pairs meet the 3+ game matrix gate. Official names canonicalized (122 slots); 0 reverse-name ghosts removed.