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Ottawa Senators

How the Senators play under each ref or ref crew

Every Senators game grouped by individual official, or by the same four officials on the ice. Over this sample the Senators are 347-436 (44.3%); each ref and crew win rate below is compared to that team average.

Updated Jul 10, 2026, 7:00 p.m.·Last 10 seasons (2016-10-12 – 2026-04-16)

Senators record: 347-436 (44.3%)

Notable patterns

  • Whistle pattern

    Pattern

    In the Senators games with Jake Brenk, the Senators draw 1.8 more minor penalties per game than opponents (42-game sample).

    42 games in sample

    Jake Brenk profile →

  • Scoring pattern

    Pattern

    In the Senators games with Graham Skilliter, contests average 5.6 combined goals (-0.7 vs league), 25.5% finish under the 6.3-goal benchmark across 51 games.

    51 games in sample

    Graham Skilliter profile →

Brad Watson

12 games with the Senators · ~10-2

Win rate

83.3%

Team baseline 44.3%

+39.0 pts vs team
Totals

6.8 avg

50.0% over 6.3

+0.5 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.5

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Beau Halkidis

11 games with the Senators · ~8-3

Win rate

72.7%

Team baseline 44.3%

+28.4 pts vs team
Totals

5.9 avg

18.2% over 6.3

-0.4 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.3

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Dan O'Halloran

17 games with the Senators · ~12-5

Win rate

70.6%

Team baseline 44.3%

+26.3 pts vs team
Totals

6.6 avg

52.9% over 6.3

+0.3 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.8

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Justin Kea

15 games with the Senators · ~10-5

Win rate

66.7%

Team baseline 44.3%

+22.4 pts vs team
Totals

6.6 avg

40.0% over 6.3

+0.3 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.3

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Peter MacDougall

27 games with the Senators · ~15-12

Win rate

55.6%

Team baseline 44.3%

+11.3 pts vs team
Totals

6.6 avg

48.1% over 6.3

+0.3 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.1

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Pierre Lambert

47 games with the Senators · ~26-21

Win rate

55.3%

Team baseline 44.3%

+11.0 pts vs team
Totals

6.1 avg

29.8% over 6.3

-0.2 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.4

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Kendrick Nicholson

66 games with the Senators · ~34-32

Win rate

51.5%

Team baseline 44.3%

+7.2 pts vs team
Totals

6.3 avg

37.9% over 6.3

+0.0 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.2

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Ghislain Hebert

53 games with the Senators · ~27-26

Win rate

50.9%

Team baseline 44.3%

+6.6 pts vs team
Totals

6.6 avg

35.8% over 6.3

+0.3 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.4

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Jon McIsaac

38 games with the Senators · ~19-19

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 44.3%

+5.7 pts vs team
Totals

5.8 avg

34.2% over 6.3

-0.5 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.2

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Dan O'Rourke

30 games with the Senators · ~15-15

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 44.3%

+5.7 pts vs team
Totals

5.6 avg

33.3% over 6.3

-0.7 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.4

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Steve Kozari

26 games with the Senators · ~13-13

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 44.3%

+5.7 pts vs team
Totals

6.9 avg

38.5% over 6.3

+0.6 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.7

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Dean Morton

22 games with the Senators · ~11-11

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 44.3%

+5.7 pts vs team
Totals

6.7 avg

18.2% over 6.3

+0.4 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.0

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Reid Anderson

12 games with the Senators · ~6-6

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 44.3%

+5.7 pts vs team
Totals

7.3 avg

41.7% over 6.3

+1.0 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-2.7

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Jordan Samuels-Thomas

10 games with the Senators · ~5-5

Win rate

50.0%

Team baseline 44.3%

+5.7 pts vs team
Totals

7.6 avg

60.0% over 6.3

+1.3 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.4

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Michael Markovic

39 games with the Senators · ~19-20

Win rate

48.7%

Team baseline 44.3%

+4.4 pts vs team
Totals

6 avg

25.6% over 6.3

-0.3 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.0

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Francis Charron

33 games with the Senators · ~16-17

Win rate

48.5%

Team baseline 44.3%

+4.2 pts vs team
Totals

5.9 avg

33.3% over 6.3

-0.4 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.2

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Francois St-Laurent

38 games with the Senators · ~18-20

Win rate

47.4%

Team baseline 44.3%

+3.1 pts vs team
Totals

6.8 avg

44.7% over 6.3

+0.5 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.1

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Frederick L'Ecuyer

34 games with the Senators · ~16-18

Win rate

47.1%

Team baseline 44.3%

+2.8 pts vs team
Totals

6.2 avg

50.0% over 6.3

-0.1 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.1

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Kelly Sutherland

34 games with the Senators · ~16-18

Win rate

47.1%

Team baseline 44.3%

+2.8 pts vs team
Totals

6.5 avg

41.2% over 6.3

+0.2 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.0

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Corey Syvret

32 games with the Senators · ~15-17

Win rate

46.9%

Team baseline 44.3%

+2.6 pts vs team
Totals

6.1 avg

28.1% over 6.3

-0.2 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.3

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Kevin Pollock

39 games with the Senators · ~18-21

Win rate

46.2%

Team baseline 44.3%

+1.9 pts vs team
Totals

6.2 avg

35.9% over 6.3

-0.1 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.9

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Brian Pochmara

35 games with the Senators · ~16-19

Win rate

45.7%

Team baseline 44.3%

+1.4 pts vs team
Totals

6.3 avg

40.0% over 6.3

+0.0 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.2

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Thomas John Luxmore

38 games with the Senators · ~17-21

Win rate

44.7%

Team baseline 44.3%

+0.4 pts vs team
Totals

5.9 avg

36.8% over 6.3

-0.4 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.1

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Eric Furlatt

66 games with the Senators · ~29-37

Win rate

43.9%

Team baseline 44.3%

-0.4 pts vs team
Totals

5.7 avg

37.9% over 6.3

-0.6 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.4

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Garrett Rank

41 games with the Senators · ~18-23

Win rate

43.9%

Team baseline 44.3%

-0.4 pts vs team
Totals

5.9 avg

31.7% over 6.3

-0.4 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.3

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Carter Sandlak

16 games with the Senators · ~7-9

Win rate

43.8%

Team baseline 44.3%

-0.5 pts vs team
Totals

5.8 avg

37.5% over 6.3

-0.5 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.5

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Justin St. Pierre

30 games with the Senators · ~13-17

Win rate

43.3%

Team baseline 44.3%

-1.0 pts vs team
Totals

6.4 avg

40.0% over 6.3

+0.1 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.2

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Cody Beach

14 games with the Senators · ~6-8

Win rate

42.9%

Team baseline 44.3%

-1.4 pts vs team
Totals

6.4 avg

35.7% over 6.3

+0.1 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.0

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Jean Hebert

33 games with the Senators · ~14-19

Win rate

42.4%

Team baseline 44.3%

-1.9 pts vs team
Totals

6.1 avg

36.4% over 6.3

-0.2 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.5

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Ian Walsh

26 games with the Senators · ~11-15

Win rate

42.3%

Team baseline 44.3%

-2.0 pts vs team
Totals

5.9 avg

34.6% over 6.3

-0.4 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.6

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Marc Joannette

48 games with the Senators · ~20-28

Win rate

41.7%

Team baseline 44.3%

-2.6 pts vs team
Totals

5.9 avg

33.3% over 6.3

-0.4 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.7

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Graham Skilliter

51 games with the Senators · ~21-30

Win rate

41.2%

Team baseline 44.3%

-3.1 pts vs team
Totals

5.6 avg

25.5% over 6.3

-0.7 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.3

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Kyle Rehman

34 games with the Senators · ~14-20

Win rate

41.2%

Team baseline 44.3%

-3.1 pts vs team
Totals

6 avg

23.5% over 6.3

-0.3 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.7

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Tom Chmielewski

32 games with the Senators · ~13-19

Win rate

40.6%

Team baseline 44.3%

-3.7 pts vs team
Totals

6 avg

28.1% over 6.3

-0.3 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.8

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Trevor Hanson

42 games with the Senators · ~17-25

Win rate

40.5%

Team baseline 44.3%

-3.8 pts vs team
Totals

6 avg

31.0% over 6.3

-0.3 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.7

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Tim Peel

15 games with the Senators · ~6-9

Win rate

40.0%

Team baseline 44.3%

-4.3 pts vs team
Totals

5.3 avg

26.7% over 6.3

-1.0 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-2.1

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Wes McCauley

34 games with the Senators · ~13-21

Win rate

38.2%

Team baseline 44.3%

-6.1 pts vs team
Totals

6.4 avg

32.4% over 6.3

+0.1 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.6

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Chris Schlenker

56 games with the Senators · ~21-35

Win rate

37.5%

Team baseline 44.3%

-6.8 pts vs team
Totals

6.7 avg

46.4% over 6.3

+0.4 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.3

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Brad Meier

35 games with the Senators · ~13-22

Win rate

37.1%

Team baseline 44.3%

-7.2 pts vs team
Totals

5.8 avg

37.1% over 6.3

-0.5 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-1.1

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Gord Dwyer

30 games with the Senators · ~11-19

Win rate

36.7%

Team baseline 44.3%

-7.6 pts vs team
Totals

6.3 avg

40.0% over 6.3

+0.0 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-0.3

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Jake Brenk

42 games with the Senators · ~15-27

Win rate

35.7%

Team baseline 44.3%

-8.6 pts vs team
Totals

6.2 avg

42.9% over 6.3

-0.1 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+1.8

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

OTT tendency

Brandon Blandina

23 games with the Senators · ~8-15

Win rate

34.8%

Team baseline 44.3%

-9.5 pts vs team
Totals

6.3 avg

52.2% over 6.3

+0.0 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.8

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Mitch Dunning

24 games with the Senators · ~8-16

Win rate

33.3%

Team baseline 44.3%

-11.0 pts vs team
Totals

6.4 avg

33.3% over 6.3

+0.1 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.8

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Brandon Schrader

15 games with the Senators · ~5-10

Win rate

33.3%

Team baseline 44.3%

-11.0 pts vs team
Totals

7.1 avg

46.7% over 6.3

+0.8 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

-2.0

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Opponent tendency

Furman South

28 games with the Senators · ~9-19

Win rate

32.1%

Team baseline 44.3%

-12.2 pts vs team
Totals

5.5 avg

17.9% over 6.3

-0.8 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.6

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Chris Rooney

41 games with the Senators · ~13-28

Win rate

31.7%

Team baseline 44.3%

-12.6 pts vs team
Totals

6.1 avg

29.3% over 6.3

-0.2 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+0.1

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

Balanced

Chris Lee

29 games with the Senators · ~9-20

Win rate

31.0%

Team baseline 44.3%

-13.3 pts vs team
Totals

6.7 avg

37.9% over 6.3

+0.4 vs league
Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).Average fouls on one team minus the opponent per game. Positive means that team is whistled less (or the opponent more).

+1.1

More fouls on the Senators's opponents when positive

OTT tendency

Late-game proxy

How Ottawa Senators compares in competitive late-game windows vs full games. A competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels.A competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels., not official NBA L2M reports.

Overtime / shootout games

Games that required extra time; the clearest late-game pressure proxy in our logs. Includes OT and SO scoring.

162 of 783 games match this window

proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play

MetricOvertime / shootout gamesFull gameΔ vs full
Avg combined goals6.26.2+0.0
Avg PIM16.319.2-2.9
Over rate51.9%44.7%+7.2 pts

Over benchmark: 6.3 combined goals · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 783 total games in sample

One-goal or OT games

Regulation one-goal games plus any overtime, competitive games where third-period whistles matter most.

323 of 783 games match this window

proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play

MetricOne-goal or OT gamesFull gameΔ vs full
Avg combined goals5.76.2-0.5
Avg PIM1719.2-2.2
Over rate42.4%44.7%-2.3 pts

Over benchmark: 6.3 combined goals · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 783 total games in sample

What am I looking at?
  • Individual refs: stats for one official across all Senators games they worked, even with different partners.
  • Ref crews: stats when the same four officials worked together on the Senators games (8+ games shown by default).
  • Team baseline: the Senators went 347-436 (44.3%) across this sample. Ref and crew win rates show how they compare to that team average.
  • Whistle differential: PIM differential. A positive number means opponents are penalized more often than the Senators.

League-wide ref profiles

Garrett Rank35.8% over 6.3Kendrick Nicholson38.4% over 6.3Trevor Hanson34.7% over 6.3Wes McCauley37.3% over 6.3Graham Skilliter35.6% over 6.3Thomas John Luxmore32.5% over 6.3Kyle Rehman36.7% over 6.3Frederick L'Ecuyer34.4% over 6.3Kelly Sutherland35.4% over 6.3Jon McIsaac37.2% over 6.3Gord Dwyer37.7% over 6.3Tom Chmielewski36.6% over 6.3