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NBA · Ref–team split
Tony Brown helps SAC on fouls, but they still lose
Why it matters: Foul edge doesn't always convert to wins or overs. These games average 210.5 combined points (20.0% over rate).
With Tony Brown on Sacramento Kings games, opponents are whistled +3.6 more fouls per game. Yet Sacramento Kings win just 20.0%.
- Foul edge
- +3.6
- SAC vs opponents
- Win rate
- 20.0%
- 15 games
- Over benchmark
- 20.0%
- Avg 210.5 combined pts
Methodology
- Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
- Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
- Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
- Full methodology →