Skip to content
← Research hub

NBA · Scoring extreme

76.6-point spread between hottest and coldest ref–team pairs

Why it matters: League average is 222. The hot pair runs 40.5 above; the cold pair -36.1 below.

Highest: Dannica Baroody on Indiana Pacers (262.5 avg). Lowest: Gary Zielinski on Utah Jazz (185.9 avg).

Sample: 18 games over 10 seasons (2016–2026)

Hottest avg
262.5
Dannica Baroody · IND
Coldest avg
185.9
Gary Zielinski · UTA
Gap
76.6
vs 222 league avg
Methodology
  • Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
  • Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
  • Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
  • Full methodology →
76.6-point spread between hottest and coldest ref–team pairs | Ref Watch