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NBA · Ref outlier
Derrick Stafford leads the pool on under frequency
17.5% of Derrick Stafford's 120 games finish under 222 combined pts, 32.5 pts from a neutral 50% baseline.
- Over benchmark
- 17.5%
- 120 games
- Avg combined total
- 209.6
- -13.6 vs league
- Delta vs 50%
- 32.5 pts
- Leans under
Methodology
- Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
- Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
- Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
- Full methodology →