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NBA · League trend

2025-26 vs 2024-25: league scoring and whistle context

Why it matters: Year-over-year context from 10 seasons in data/baselines.json (12,300 total games). League-wide baselines, not ref-specific.

From 2024-25 to 2025-26, combined pts per game ticked down (-0.5 pts) while fouls fell (-0.2 fouls).

Sample: 2,460 games over 10 seasons (2016–2026)

2025-26 avg total
222.0 pts
1,230 games
2024-25 avg total
222.5 pts
1,230 games
YoY scoring change
-0.5
pts
Methodology
  • Findings ranked by effect size × √sample size with category deduplication.
  • Sample gates: 30+ ref games, 8+ team splits, 30+ ATS decisions where applicable.
  • Estimated closing lines disclosed where applicable, not betting advice.
  • Full methodology →