John Conley
9 games with the Bulls · ~7-2
77.8%
Team baseline 36.2%
+41.6 pts vs team229.9 avg
66.7% over 222
+7.9 vs league-0.7
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
BalancedChicago Bulls
Every Bulls game grouped by individual official, or by the same three officials on the court. Over this sample the Bulls are 297-523 (36.2%); each ref and crew win rate below is compared to that team average.
297-523 (36.2%)
vs. opp avg .504 · expected 203-207 · -51.4 above avg
Opponent tiers ranked by season-end win% within each season. Schedule context uses the same Bulls sample as the record above.
Whistle pattern
PatternIn the Bulls games with Mike Callahan, opponents draw 2.2 more fouls called per game than the Bulls (12-game sample).
12 games in sample
Mike Callahan profile →Win rate pattern
PatternWhen Tre Maddox officiates, the Bulls are 14-5 (73.7%) in 19 games, 37.5 pts above their 36.2% sample average.
19 games in sample
Tre Maddox profile →9 games with the Bulls · ~7-2
77.8%
Team baseline 36.2%
+41.6 pts vs team229.9 avg
66.7% over 222
+7.9 vs league-0.7
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced19 games with the Bulls · ~14-5
73.7%
Team baseline 36.2%
+37.5 pts vs team223.5 avg
43.8% over 222
+1.5 vs league+1.4
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency16 games with the Bulls · ~11-5
68.8%
Team baseline 36.2%
+32.6 pts vs team237.2 avg
68.4% over 222
+15.2 vs league+0.9
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced21 games with the Bulls · ~14-7
66.7%
Team baseline 36.2%
+30.5 pts vs team219.7 avg
38.5% over 222
-2.3 vs league-0.2
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced15 games with the Bulls · ~10-5
66.7%
Team baseline 36.2%
+30.5 pts vs team220.4 avg
43.8% over 222
-1.6 vs league+0.9
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced12 games with the Bulls · ~8-4
66.7%
Team baseline 36.2%
+30.5 pts vs team225.8 avg
57.7% over 222
+3.8 vs league+0.8
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced24 games with the Bulls · ~15-9
62.5%
Team baseline 36.2%
+26.3 pts vs team222.8 avg
43.8% over 222
+0.8 vs league+0.6
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced16 games with the Bulls · ~10-6
62.5%
Team baseline 36.2%
+26.3 pts vs team220.5 avg
35.7% over 222
-1.5 vs league+1.7
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency16 games with the Bulls · ~10-6
62.5%
Team baseline 36.2%
+26.3 pts vs team224.6 avg
56.0% over 222
+2.6 vs league+2.5
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency8 games with the Bulls · ~5-3
62.5%
Team baseline 36.2%
+26.3 pts vs team217.2 avg
32.0% over 222
-4.8 vs league+3.1
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency8 games with the Bulls · ~5-3
62.5%
Team baseline 36.2%
+26.3 pts vs team215.4 avg
36.4% over 222
-6.6 vs league+0.1
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced13 games with the Bulls · ~8-5
61.5%
Team baseline 36.2%
+25.3 pts vs team237.4 avg
69.2% over 222
+15.4 vs league+1.2
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency20 games with the Bulls · ~12-8
60.0%
Team baseline 36.2%
+23.8 pts vs team226.9 avg
56.0% over 222
+4.9 vs league+1.2
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency15 games with the Bulls · ~9-6
60.0%
Team baseline 36.2%
+23.8 pts vs team226.6 avg
50.0% over 222
+4.6 vs league+0.1
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced17 games with the Bulls · ~10-7
58.8%
Team baseline 36.2%
+22.6 pts vs team229.8 avg
48.3% over 222
+7.8 vs league-0.2
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced17 games with the Bulls · ~10-7
58.8%
Team baseline 36.2%
+22.6 pts vs team218.3 avg
29.3% over 222
-3.7 vs league+1.1
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency40 games with the Bulls · ~23-17
57.5%
Team baseline 36.2%
+21.3 pts vs team224.6 avg
49.4% over 222
+2.6 vs league+1.2
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency16 games with the Bulls · ~9-7
56.3%
Team baseline 36.2%
+20.1 pts vs team223.6 avg
46.4% over 222
+1.6 vs league+1.0
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced9 games with the Bulls · ~5-4
55.6%
Team baseline 36.2%
+19.4 pts vs team222.4 avg
44.4% over 222
+0.4 vs league+2.0
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency20 games with the Bulls · ~11-9
55.0%
Team baseline 36.2%
+18.8 pts vs team224.3 avg
50.0% over 222
+2.3 vs league+1.1
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency20 games with the Bulls · ~11-9
55.0%
Team baseline 36.2%
+18.8 pts vs team226.1 avg
60.0% over 222
+4.1 vs league+1.1
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency11 games with the Bulls · ~6-5
54.5%
Team baseline 36.2%
+18.3 pts vs team223.7 avg
50.0% over 222
+1.7 vs league-0.1
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced13 games with the Bulls · ~7-6
53.8%
Team baseline 36.2%
+17.6 pts vs team219.6 avg
33.3% over 222
-2.4 vs league+1.3
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency15 games with the Bulls · ~8-7
53.3%
Team baseline 36.2%
+17.1 pts vs team223.6 avg
41.9% over 222
+1.6 vs league-0.3
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced15 games with the Bulls · ~8-7
53.3%
Team baseline 36.2%
+17.1 pts vs team214.7 avg
33.3% over 222
-7.3 vs league-0.1
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced17 games with the Bulls · ~9-8
52.9%
Team baseline 36.2%
+16.7 pts vs team215.6 avg
22.2% over 222
-6.4 vs league+1.1
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency17 games with the Bulls · ~9-8
52.9%
Team baseline 36.2%
+16.7 pts vs team226.1 avg
50.0% over 222
+4.1 vs league+1.5
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency23 games with the Bulls · ~12-11
52.2%
Team baseline 36.2%
+16.0 pts vs team223.6 avg
36.2% over 222
+1.6 vs league+0.2
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced23 games with the Bulls · ~12-11
52.2%
Team baseline 36.2%
+16.0 pts vs team217.6 avg
31.7% over 222
-4.4 vs league+0.4
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced27 games with the Bulls · ~14-13
51.9%
Team baseline 36.2%
+15.7 pts vs team222.1 avg
39.1% over 222
+0.1 vs league+0.6
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced22 games with the Bulls · ~11-11
50.0%
Team baseline 36.2%
+13.8 pts vs team220.9 avg
40.9% over 222
-1.1 vs league+0.2
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced22 games with the Bulls · ~11-11
50.0%
Team baseline 36.2%
+13.8 pts vs team230.7 avg
63.0% over 222
+8.7 vs league+1.3
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency16 games with the Bulls · ~8-8
50.0%
Team baseline 36.2%
+13.8 pts vs team223.6 avg
41.7% over 222
+1.6 vs league-0.1
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced16 games with the Bulls · ~8-8
50.0%
Team baseline 36.2%
+13.8 pts vs team223 avg
40.7% over 222
+1.0 vs league+1.4
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency14 games with the Bulls · ~7-7
50.0%
Team baseline 36.2%
+13.8 pts vs team217.8 avg
43.3% over 222
-4.2 vs league+0.5
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced12 games with the Bulls · ~6-6
50.0%
Team baseline 36.2%
+13.8 pts vs team223.8 avg
53.3% over 222
+1.8 vs league-0.5
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced10 games with the Bulls · ~5-5
50.0%
Team baseline 36.2%
+13.8 pts vs team224.9 avg
35.7% over 222
+2.9 vs league+1.0
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced19 games with the Bulls · ~9-10
47.4%
Team baseline 36.2%
+11.2 pts vs team224.1 avg
34.3% over 222
+2.1 vs league+1.1
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency17 games with the Bulls · ~8-9
47.1%
Team baseline 36.2%
+10.9 pts vs team224.9 avg
44.4% over 222
+2.9 vs league+0.3
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced15 games with the Bulls · ~7-8
46.7%
Team baseline 36.2%
+10.5 pts vs team227.4 avg
54.2% over 222
+5.4 vs league+2.1
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency15 games with the Bulls · ~7-8
46.7%
Team baseline 36.2%
+10.5 pts vs team217.4 avg
33.3% over 222
-4.6 vs league+1.1
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency16 games with the Bulls · ~7-9
43.8%
Team baseline 36.2%
+7.6 pts vs team233.4 avg
58.8% over 222
+11.4 vs league-1.5
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Opponent tendency28 games with the Bulls · ~12-16
42.9%
Team baseline 36.2%
+6.7 pts vs team229.7 avg
62.5% over 222
+7.7 vs league+1.2
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency14 games with the Bulls · ~6-8
42.9%
Team baseline 36.2%
+6.7 pts vs team224.2 avg
59.3% over 222
+2.2 vs league+1.7
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency14 games with the Bulls · ~6-8
42.9%
Team baseline 36.2%
+6.7 pts vs team219.7 avg
40.7% over 222
-2.3 vs league+0.9
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced14 games with the Bulls · ~6-8
42.9%
Team baseline 36.2%
+6.7 pts vs team229.5 avg
68.0% over 222
+7.5 vs league+1.3
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency19 games with the Bulls · ~8-11
42.1%
Team baseline 36.2%
+5.9 pts vs team224.6 avg
48.6% over 222
+2.6 vs league+2.0
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency24 games with the Bulls · ~10-14
41.7%
Team baseline 36.2%
+5.5 pts vs team222.7 avg
50.0% over 222
+0.7 vs league+1.7
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency12 games with the Bulls · ~5-7
41.7%
Team baseline 36.2%
+5.5 pts vs team209.9 avg
16.7% over 222
-12.1 vs league-2.2
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Opponent tendency12 games with the Bulls · ~5-7
41.7%
Team baseline 36.2%
+5.5 pts vs team235.8 avg
75.0% over 222
+13.8 vs league-0.5
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced17 games with the Bulls · ~7-10
41.2%
Team baseline 36.2%
+5.0 pts vs team215.3 avg
45.2% over 222
-6.7 vs league-0.1
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced17 games with the Bulls · ~7-10
41.2%
Team baseline 36.2%
+5.0 pts vs team212 avg
23.5% over 222
-10.0 vs league+1.5
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency22 games with the Bulls · ~9-13
40.9%
Team baseline 36.2%
+4.7 pts vs team224.6 avg
43.9% over 222
+2.6 vs league-0.8
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced27 games with the Bulls · ~11-16
40.7%
Team baseline 36.2%
+4.5 pts vs team228.2 avg
55.1% over 222
+6.2 vs league+1.0
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced15 games with the Bulls · ~6-9
40.0%
Team baseline 36.2%
+3.8 pts vs team225.3 avg
52.4% over 222
+3.3 vs league+1.0
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced10 games with the Bulls · ~4-6
40.0%
Team baseline 36.2%
+3.8 pts vs team205.6 avg
10.0% over 222
-16.4 vs league+0.3
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced10 games with the Bulls · ~4-6
40.0%
Team baseline 36.2%
+3.8 pts vs team226.7 avg
60.0% over 222
+4.7 vs league+1.4
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency18 games with the Bulls · ~7-11
38.9%
Team baseline 36.2%
+2.7 pts vs team219.9 avg
36.4% over 222
-2.1 vs league+1.5
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency8 games with the Bulls · ~3-5
37.5%
Team baseline 36.2%
+1.3 pts vs team240.5 avg
75.0% over 222
+18.5 vs league+0.0
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced19 games with the Bulls · ~7-12
36.8%
Team baseline 36.2%
+0.6 pts vs team231.4 avg
63.0% over 222
+9.4 vs league+2.3
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency22 games with the Bulls · ~8-14
36.4%
Team baseline 36.2%
+0.2 pts vs team216.7 avg
39.0% over 222
-5.3 vs league+1.2
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency22 games with the Bulls · ~8-14
36.4%
Team baseline 36.2%
+0.2 pts vs team231.2 avg
58.1% over 222
+9.2 vs league+2.0
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency11 games with the Bulls · ~4-7
36.4%
Team baseline 36.2%
+0.2 pts vs team229.5 avg
60.0% over 222
+7.5 vs league+0.5
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced14 games with the Bulls · ~5-9
35.7%
Team baseline 36.2%
-0.5 pts vs team218.8 avg
36.1% over 222
-3.2 vs league+0.2
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced14 games with the Bulls · ~5-9
35.7%
Team baseline 36.2%
-0.5 pts vs team211.2 avg
29.0% over 222
-10.8 vs league-0.4
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced18 games with the Bulls · ~6-12
33.3%
Team baseline 36.2%
-2.9 pts vs team228.6 avg
59.4% over 222
+6.6 vs league+0.6
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced15 games with the Bulls · ~5-10
33.3%
Team baseline 36.2%
-2.9 pts vs team223.1 avg
45.8% over 222
+1.1 vs league+0.8
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced15 games with the Bulls · ~5-10
33.3%
Team baseline 36.2%
-2.9 pts vs team224 avg
43.5% over 222
+2.0 vs league+0.5
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced12 games with the Bulls · ~4-8
33.3%
Team baseline 36.2%
-2.9 pts vs team226.5 avg
58.3% over 222
+4.5 vs league+0.3
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced22 games with the Bulls · ~7-15
31.8%
Team baseline 36.2%
-4.4 pts vs team215.8 avg
32.4% over 222
-6.2 vs league+0.1
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced19 games with the Bulls · ~6-13
31.6%
Team baseline 36.2%
-4.6 pts vs team219.8 avg
40.5% over 222
-2.2 vs league+0.0
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced19 games with the Bulls · ~6-13
31.6%
Team baseline 36.2%
-4.6 pts vs team221 avg
31.6% over 222
-1.0 vs league-1.4
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Opponent tendency20 games with the Bulls · ~6-14
30.0%
Team baseline 36.2%
-6.2 pts vs team221.8 avg
43.6% over 222
-0.2 vs league+0.5
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced17 games with the Bulls · ~5-12
29.4%
Team baseline 36.2%
-6.8 pts vs team218.2 avg
41.7% over 222
-3.8 vs league+0.7
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced14 games with the Bulls · ~4-10
28.6%
Team baseline 36.2%
-7.6 pts vs team219.5 avg
41.9% over 222
-2.5 vs league-1.6
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Opponent tendency8 games with the Bulls · ~2-6
25.0%
Team baseline 36.2%
-11.2 pts vs team214 avg
25.0% over 222
-8.0 vs league-2.2
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Opponent tendency8 games with the Bulls · ~2-6
25.0%
Team baseline 36.2%
-11.2 pts vs team221.3 avg
33.3% over 222
-0.7 vs league-0.3
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
Balanced15 games with the Bulls · ~3-12
20.0%
Team baseline 36.2%
-16.2 pts vs team222.3 avg
42.1% over 222
+0.3 vs league+1.1
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency10 games with the Bulls · ~2-8
20.0%
Team baseline 36.2%
-16.2 pts vs team222 avg
48.1% over 222
+0.0 vs league+2.0
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency22 games with the Bulls · ~4-18
18.2%
Team baseline 36.2%
-18.0 pts vs team220.3 avg
45.5% over 222
-1.7 vs league+1.4
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
CHI tendency8 games with the Bulls · ~1-7
12.5%
Team baseline 36.2%
-23.7 pts vs team208.6 avg
25.0% over 222
-13.4 vs league-0.2
More fouls on the Bulls's opponents when positive
BalancedHow Chicago Bulls compares in competitive late-game windows vs full games. A competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels.A competitive late-game window derived from final margins, pregame spreads, or overtime, not official NBA Last Two Minute (L2M) play-by-play reports. Useful for spotting whistle/scoring shifts in tight games, with honest partial-coverage labels., not official NBA L2M reports.
Final margin within five points, a proxy for competitive late-game minutes. Not true last-two-minute (L2M) play-by-play data.
203 of 793 games match this window
proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play
| Metric | Close games (≤5 pt margin) | Full game | Δ vs full |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg combined pts | 225.2 | 222.6 | +2.6 |
| Avg fouls | 38.8 | 37.3 | +1.5 |
| Over rate | 54.2% | 50.2% | +4.0 pts |
Over benchmark: 222 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 793 total games in sample
Games where the closing spread was within 5.5 points; often stay tight through the fourth quarter. Spread lines may be estimated where sportsbook closing lines are unavailable.
793 of 793 games match this window
proxy window, not official L2M play-by-play
| Metric | Pregame toss-ups (spread ≤5.5) | Full game | Δ vs full |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg combined pts | 222.6 | 222.6 | +0.0 |
| Avg fouls | 37.3 | 37.3 | +0.0 |
| Over rate | 50.2% | 50.2% | +0.0 pts |
Over benchmark: 222 combined points · Seasons: 2016-17, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 793 total games in sample
Ref×team W-L from Basketball-Reference (2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26). Verified ingest 2026-07-09T19:56:11.546Z